Hoffman’s Favorite NFL Week 7 Touchdown Bets
Here are my favorite touchdown prop bets and the book with the best line for each in Week 7 of the NFL. Come hang out in Discord and tag me (@Hoffman) with any questions.
1pm Slate:
- Bills at Patriots
- Stefon Diggs +113 (Caesars) – Look for the Bills to get their offense right after a lackluster performance last week vs. the Giants. Diggs should be the main beneficiary of that and could be in line for multiple touchdowns.
- Lions at Ravens
- Lamar Jackson +140 (DraftKings) – The Lions struggle vs. running QBs and Lamar is as dangerous as they come with his legs. Look for him to negate the Lions’ pass rush with his legs.
- Mark Andrews +215 (FanDuel) – Another way to beat the Lions is with the TE and Lamar loves peppering Andrews over the middle and in the Red Zone. Could be an Andrews game here for the Ravens.
- Amon-Ra St. Brown +155 (Caasars) – The Sun God just is flat out good. He is a target monster for Goff and he has a nose for the end zone. I think this game paces up, which would mean the Lions’ pass game and St. Brown will need to be involved.
- Commanders at Giants
- Curtis Samuel +320 (FanDuel) – Samuel is a unique weapon and can be used in many different formations, especially in the Red Zone and I like the way the Commanders are using him this season.
- Darren Waller +440 (FanDuel) – With Tyrod getting the nod at QB going up against a weaker defense than last week, I think he connects with his best pass catcher for a score in this game. I also expect the Giants to be trailing, so they will need to throw more than run. Waller is just a big target for Taylor to feed and I think he will in this matchup.
- Raiders at Bears
- Davante Adams +160 (DraftKings) – With Hoyer in at QB, look for him to pepper Adams early and often, particularly in the Red Zone as he knows he is by far the best weapon on the team.
- Falcons at Buccaneers
- Drake London +280 (FanDuel) – Ridder has been looking London’s way a lot in recent weeks. Look for that trend to continue this week and I think London sees the end zone in what may be a higher scoring game than people anticipate.
- Browns at Colts
- Jonathan Taylor +185 (DraftKings) – Jonathan Taylor should finally see the end zone this week in a matchup I expect to be sloppy. I think they increase Taylor’s workload this week and he finds his way into the end zone on a Goal to Go scenario.
- Jerome Ford +140 (Caesars) – One of the Browns’ RBs is going to score in this game, whether it be Ford or Hunt, if not both. The Browns are going to use their backs early, often, and on most downs in the Red Zone.
- Kareem Hunt +175 (FanDuel) – See Jerome Ford write-up.
4pm Slate:
- Steelers at Rams
- Cooper Kupp +110 (FanDuel) – Kupp is back to full form and gets an AMAZING matchup vs. a Steelers team that is struggling on defense. Look for the Rams to use Kupp a lot, especially with all their injuries to their backfield.
- Cardinals at Seahawks
- Kenneth Walker -150 (Caesars) – This is going to be the Kenneth Walker show. He may score two or three TDs in this game. Look for him to absolutely destroy in this matchup.
- TJ Lockett +160 (Caesars) – Lockett may be in line for a target increase due to Metcalf being unlikely to play. Lockett is always a deep threat in this offense, but if Metcalf misses, Lockett becomes Smith’s go to target inside the 20s and in the Red Zone.
- Chargers at Chiefs
- Austin Ekeler -120 (FanDuel) – Ekeler is the Chargers workhorse, the offense runs through him, especially in the Red Zone. Look for Ekeler to see the end zone in a pace up divisional game.
- Travis Kelce -125 (FanDuel) – Kelce usually has big games vs. the Chargers. This one should be no different. Could be in line for multiple TDs with the lack of pass-catching options Mahomes has on this team, particularly in the Red Zone, it’s basically all Kelce.
- Mecole Hardman +750 (Caesars) – Hardman just got traded back to the Chiefs from the Jets and it would be very Andy Reid-like to put him in the game in the Red Zone and run a jet sweep or bubble screen to him to get him a TD in his return game back with KC and Mahomes.
- Packers at Broncos
- Jordan Love +410 (FanDuel) – Jordan Love can run and is going to need to use his legs in this one. Could see him extending a play or calling his own number in the Red Zone/Goal to Go situations.
- Aaron Jones +115 (FanDuel) – If Aaron Jones plays, he is going to be used a lot, especially in the Red Zone and in the passing game. Multiple ways for him to get into the end zone in this one if he does go.
- Jerry Jeudy +270 (FanDuel) – Russ is going to be airing it out in this one and I expect him to take a couple shots deep to Jeudy and connect on one. This game may be higher scoring than people think as well. I think Jeudy gets in the box this week.
