ABER’s 8/3/23 MLB Breakdown

ABER's MLB Daily Fantasy Plays

What’s up, 4Deep?! Baseball is here and I’m ready to put us in the driver’s seat to hopefully take down some tournaments this year! First and foremost, baseball is the only sport that I consistently play multiple lineups. I HIGHLY recommend at least playing two lineups. Fading chalk in baseball is usually the key to taking down tournaments, but is not always the correct move. What I will be providing below is an in-depth breakdown of my top stacks of the night and I will always start with what I believe will be the chalk, followed with my favorite pitchers as well. Generally speaking, chalk is usually chalk because they are in a good spot and I will be telling you whether or not I agree with it. What I want though, is for you to understand what is chalk and then determine whether or not you want to play them! Now, let’s get to the fun part with a lot of numbers and all the pitch data you can handle! 

Chalk Stack Of The Day

Chicago Cubs vs. Luke Weaver (RH)
Well, I’m not really sure if I have learned my lesson or the data has caught up to the recent results, but the Cubs are the #1 offense in the split over the last 30 days. They are red hot and I keep fading them because I don’t think they’re that good. I’m not going to fade them tonight, but I’m not going to get too crazy. My favorites in order are Cody Bellinger, Christopher Morel, Ian Happ, Mike Tauchman, and Jeimer Canderlario for value.

Top Stacks Of The Day

Cincinnati Reds vs. Jameson Taillon (RH)
Taillon gets nuked by left handed bats for a living and the Reds have some killers. The lefties are the priority, but I’m totally content mixing 1-9 in. My favorites are Jake Fraley, TJ Friedl, Joey Votto, and Will Benson.

Los Angeles Angels vs. Bryan Woo (RH)
We’ll touch more on Woo below, but the lefties is 100% what we want to target here, despite not being able to play Ohtani. My favorites in order are Mickey Moniak, Luis Rengifo, Mike Moustakas, and Matt Thaiss for value.

Top Spend Up Pitcher Of The Day

Shohei Ohtani (RH) vs. Seattle Mariners
The sky is the limit tonight for Ohtani tonight. He’s likely the highest scoring pitcher of the night and he’s not as expensive as he should be. I don’t think he’s absolutely necessary, but 100% the top play of the night.

Top Mid Tier Pitcher Of The Day

Julio Urias (LH) vs. Oakland Athletics
Oakland has been significantly better than they have been in the past, but they still haven’t crawled out of the bottom tier of teams. In the split, they are top 10 in K rate and bottom 10 overall. Urias is much better than he’s pitched this year, but he hasn’t been able to stay very healthy, either. Tonight can be the night he rights the ship, and gets back on track where he’s supposed to be.

Top Value Pitcher Of The Day

Bryan Woo (RH) vs. Los Angeles Angels
It’s been very up and down in this article for Mr. Woo, but we are back on the Woo train. As usual with Woo, his splits are quite literally the most insane splits I’ve ever seen in my life. He is one of the best pitchers in the league against right handed hitting and he is one of the worst pitchers in the league against left handed hitting. There’s likely five lefties in this lineup, which isn’t great, and one of them is Ohtani, who will almost assuredly dong. The good thing is the rest of these lefties are either not very good, or strike out a lot. Since the beginning of July, the Angels have the second-highest K rate in the split, so the matchup is definitely there. I don’t do a lot of hedging in DFS, but this is one of the spots that, if I’m playing multiple lineups, I’m getting exposure to Woo, and I’m likely trying to play some Angels in another lineup, despite not being able to roster Ohtani.

Also Check Out: 4Deep’s MLB Quick Hits


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