Zab’s EPL Daily Fantasy Plays – 12/9/23

Zab's EPL Daily Fantasy Plays
âš½ EPL Slate – 12/9/23 âš½

We are ramping up heading into the holidays. Five matchdays this week and we have a juicy, four-game slate ahead of us. Brighton are the biggest favorites on the board at -205 followed by a Man United side that aren’t trustworthy. Mbeumo and Brentford are at home, where we love to target them.

If you have any lineup questions, ask me @Zab in Discord before lock!

UPDATES: 

Matches:

Man United -165 vs. Bouremouth +425

  • Match total 2.5 goals with the juice on the over -160
  • Mun team total over 1.5 under 2.5 goals -265 
  • Bou team total over 0.5 goal -200 and under 1.5 goals -330

Brighton -205 vs. Burnley +425

  • Match total is 3.5 goals with juice on under-120
  • Bha over 1.5 goals -210 under 2.5 goals -195
  • Bur team total over 0.5 goal -210 under 1.5 -330

Sheffield United +400 vs. Brentford -155

  • Match total is 2.5 with the juice on the over -140
  • Shu over 0.5 goal -210 and under 1.5 goals -350 
  • Bre over 1.5 goals -155 and under 2.5 goals -310

Wolves +100 vs. Nottingham Forest +285

  • Match total is 2.5 goals with the juice on the under -130
  • Wol over 0.5 goal -525 under 1.5 goal -145
  • NF team total -230 and under 1.5 goals -320

Main Targets:

  • B. Fernandes (mun) (M) $10600 – Monopoly of set pieces for MUN, cash lock. 
  • Grob (bha) (M/F) $10400 – Pascal has been dynamite for Brighton the last couple matches. Has a monopoly of set pieces, a threat for goal and assist every game. 
  • Gibbs-White (NFO) (M/F) $9600 – Does it all for NF when he’s on the pitch. Revenge game for him. 
  • Hee-Chan (wol) (M/F) $9400 – We were on him during mid week action and he paid off with a goal. He has another plus matchup against a NF side that concedes.
  • Cunha (wol) (F) $8800 – Great gpp pairing piece with Chan. These two have been dynamic as of late. We paired them up and they paid off big time. 
  • Pedro (bha) (F) $7900 – Three goals in the last three games. Firing shots, this match I think has shootout potential. 
  • Sarabia (wol) (M) $7700 – Shooting a ton of late, going to pop up with a goal sooner or later. Great pairing piece to go with Cunha/Chan.
  • Maupay (bre) (F) $7500 – No mbeumo, Look to maupay to step up and fire more shots on net.
  • Solanke (bou) (F) $7100 – Always a threat for a goal has been scoring every other game as of late. Does he continue this trend? If so, here’s the game.
  • Mitoma (bha) (M) $6900 – Played a full 90 and popped up with an assist. This game has shootout potential and he will be involved.
  • Adingra (bha) (F) $6600 – Liked him midweek and didn’t come through with a goal, but did have 13 points, accruing mainly from four shots and two on target. Returning 2x his price tag. I’ll be on him again. 
  • Lewis Cook (bou) (M) $3600 – Cheap option with a safe floor. 
  • Bruun Larsen (Bur) (F) $6100 – Will be on some sets for bur in a game that I think could shoot out.
  • Amdouni (bur) (F) $5300 – Has been firing a ton of shots lately. Good gpp target.

Defense:

I will be looking more mid tier level on this slate. Nothing I really want to pay up for.

  • Dalot (Mun) – $5700
  • Taylor (bur) $4800 – If I’m looking mid tier defense, he would be first in my lineup
  • Aina (nf) – $4300
  • Pinnock (bre) – $4100
  • Kerkez (bou) – $3900
  • Vitinho (bur) – $3800

More defensive options will become available after lineups are released.

Scoring Notes:

  • If you are playing on FanDuel, you’re searching for the goals. Goals count for 15 points, and shots are worth one point. Shots on goal are worth five, while assists are seven.
  • For defenders, I like looking at cheap center mids who will be on the defensive. I target these players because they will rack up tackles and clearances. Occasionally will pop up with a cheap goal, also.
  • If you are playing on DraftKings, goals are worth 10 points, shots are one, and shots on goal are one. Assists are worth six points.
  • Playing on DK you want to look for set piece-takers and players that will be crossing the ball. Defenders won’t get as many points for tackles and clearances, so I’m targeting defenders who play on the outside who will move up and cross the ball in.

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