Zab’s EPL Daily Fantasy Plays – 10/21/23

Zab's EPL Daily Fantasy Plays
⚽ EPL Slate – 10/21/23

What’s going on, everyone? International break is over and soccer is back. We have a massive slate to welcome us back. We have a five-game slate on DraftKings and a seven-game slate on FanDuel. Man City, New Castle and Man United are massive favorites on a slate that should feature a lot of goals. Let’s dive in.

If you have any lineup questions, ask me @Zab in Discord before lock!

UPDATES: 

Scoring Notes:

  • If you are playing on FanDuel, you’re searching for the goals. Goals count for 15 points, and shots are worth one point. Shots on goal are worth five, while assists are seven.
  • For defenders, I like looking at cheap center mids who will be on the defensive. I target these players because they will rack up tackles and clearances. Occasionally will pop up with a cheap goal, also.
  • If you are playing on DraftKings, goals are worth 10 points, shots are one, and shots on goal are one. Assists are worth six points.
  • Playing on DK you want to look for set piece-takers and players that will be crossing the ball. Defenders won’t get as many points for tackles and clearances, so I’m targeting defenders who play on the outside who will move up and cross the ball in.

Matches:

Man City -255 vs. Brighton +600

  • Total goals set at 3.5 with the juice on the under at -120
  • Mci team total is set at 2.5; the over being +100; under being -130
  • Bha team goals set at over 0.5 goal -225; under 1.5 -295
Main Targets:
  • Haaland (mci) goal scorer
  • Alvarez (mci) goal scorer 
  • Foden (mci) on sets 
  • March (bha) on sets 
  • Ferguson (bha) deep gpp target 
  • Walker (mci) (def) great defensive option that gets forward. Cheap on FD.

Man City lost right before break. I’m sure Coach Pep hasn’t let them forget and is going to come out and try and run up the score. Bha will sit back and look to get a counter goal. Prediction: 3-1 City.

Newcastle -220 vs. Crystal Palace +650

  • Total goals 2.5 with the juice on the over at -120
  • New team goals are set at over 1.5 -175; under 2.5 goals -250
  • CP team goals set at over 0.5 goal -135; under 1.5 goals -575
Main Targets:
  • C. Wilson (new) goal scorer 
  • Isak (new) questionable to play. Good gpp play if he’s in and healthy.
  • Trippier (new) on sets. Cash game staple.
  • Edouard (cp) gpp goal scoring option
  • Gordon (new) goal scorer

Bournemouth +145 vs. Wolves+190

  • Total goals set at 2.5 with the juice on the over at -120
  • Bou team goals set at over 0.5 -450; under 1.5 -155
  • Wol team goals set at over 0.5 goal -360; under 1.5 -195
Main Targets:
  • Solanke (bou) goal scorer 
  • Neto (wol) takes sets and involved in scoring. In 6 games, has 5 assists and 1 goal.
  • Chan (wol) – 4 goals in last 5 games. 
  • Billing (bou) – dealing with a minor injury, which kept him out of international duty. Takes sets. Will be curious to see if he’s in. Gpp option

Brentford-120 vs. Burnley +340

  • Total goals set at 2.5 juice on both the o/u at -110
  • Bre team goals set at over 1.5 goals -115; under 2.5 goals -400
  • Bur team goals set at over 0.5 goal -210; under 1.5 goals -340
Main Targets:
  • Mbeumo (bre) – goal scorer hasn’t scored in last four games. Could this be his get right game?
  • Jensen (bre) – splits sets, has been scoring also three goals in last five games
  • Norgaard (bre) – good mid tier option who chips in with stats in all categories

Nottingham Forest -150 vs. Luton Town +425

  • Total goals set at 2.5 with the juice on the under at -130
  • Lut team goals set at over 0.5 -160; under 1.5 -475
  • Nfo team goals over 1.5 -120; under 2.5 -400
Main Targets:
  • Gibbs-white (nfo) – takes all sets has been cresting chances. Could be the game he finds score sheet. 
  • Hudson odoi (nfo) – gpp target 
  • Origi (nfo) – if he gets the start, cheap mid tier option that will get forward 
  • Morris (lut) – fires shots, and chips in with defensive stats
  • Nakamba (lut) – cheap solid mid tier option

Chelsea +210 vs. Arsenal +130 (FanDuel only)

  • Total goals 2.5 juice at -110 on both over and under
  • Ars team goals over 0.5 -450; under 1.5 -155
  • Che team goals over 0.5 goal -300; under 1.5 -225
Main Targets:
  • Saka (ars) – not sure if he goes. If he does, I’m always interested in cash.
  • Sterling (che) – was in great form heading into international break. He’s going to be heavily involved in any attack.
  • Odegaard (ars) – 11 chances created, 15 crosses, and six shots in last four games. Phenomenal form.

Sheffield Utd +600 vs. Man United -240 (FanDuel only)

  • Total goals 3.5 with the juice on the under at -165
  • Shu team goals set at over 0.5 -175; under 1.5 goals -400
  • Mun team goals set at over 1.5 -240; under 2.5 goals -170
Main Targets:
  • Martial (mun) – great goal scoring odds. Has been firing at the net lately.
  • Hojlund (mun) – no goals in EPL yet, but seven shots in last four games
  • Fernandes – lock him in cash games. Monopoly of sets.

Defender Options:

Expensive:
  • Trippier (new)
  • Walker (dk) (mci)
Mid Tier:
  • Dias (mci) 
  • Schar (new)
  • Ake (mci)
Low:
  • Roerslav (bre)
  • Kabore (lut)
  • Ajer (bre)
  • Murillo (nfo)

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