Volpe’s DraftKings NFL Showdown Plays – 12/7/23

Volpe’s NFL Showdown Plays – 12/7/23: Patriots at Steelers

🏈 Thursday Night Showdown – 12/7/23 🏈
Patriots (2-10) @ Steelers (7-5) | 8:15 PM EST
Steelers -6 | Over/Under 30.5

Projections are tailored to DraftKings’ Showdown Captain contests. If you have any lineup questions, for FanDuel or DraftKings, ask me @mvolp in Discord before lock!

UPDATES: 

⭐ Notable News ⭐ 

• The Steelers’ offense has scored 17 or fewer points in seven of its 12 games this season — including three straight — that will be turning to its backup QB on a short week and facing the No. 1 defense over the last month of football. 
• The Steelers are allowing 19.1 points per game, sixth fewest in the NFL. They are giving up 348.3 total yards per game, 12th overall.
• The Patriots (2-10) enter NFL Week 14 on a five-game losing streak, a dismal stretch that’s seen New England average just 9.4 points per game. To add insult to injury, the Pats will be without star running back Rhamondre Stevenson (ankle) against the fifth-ranked Pittsburgh defense.
• The Patriots are 32nd in the league in scoring offense as they put up an average of 12.3 points per game. New England is 16th in scoring defense as they allow 21.2 points per contest.

🩹 Key Injuries 🩹

• Patriots: OUT: Rhamondre Stevenson (RB), Demario Douglas (WR), Shaun Wade (CB) | QUES: JuJu Smith-Schuster (WR) DeVante Parker (WR)
• Steelers: OUT: | QUES: Tyson Campbell (CB), Luke Farrell (TE), Travis Etienne (RB)

🌦️ Weather 🌦️ 

• Acrisure Stadium – OUTDOORS
• 58 Degrees, 7 MPH Winds, 17% chance of precipitation

🏈 QB Matchups 🏈 

• Patriots Defense: Ranked 4th | 17.3 FP/G allowed to QBs
• Steelers Defense: Ranked 7th | 18.1 FP/G allowed to QBs

🏃 RB Matchups 🏃 

• Patriots Defense: Ranked 15th | 19.9 FP/G allowed to RBs
• Steelers Defense: Ranked 18th | 21.3 FP/G allowed to RBs

🧤 WR Matchups 🧤 

• Patriots Defense: Ranked 22nd | 36.2 FP/G allowed to WRs
• Steelers Defense: Ranked 17th | 33.6 FP/G allowed to WRs

🏈 TE Matchups 🏈

• Patriots Defense: Ranked 5th | 8.6 FP/G allowed to TEs
• Steelers Defense: Ranked 13th | 11.6 FP/G allowed to TEs

🧩 Core Players 🧩

• Tonight’s Build: 3-3, 4-2 Pats
• Must-Have: Zeke Elliott, Najee or Warren
  • Captains: Zeke, Najee, Warren, Zappe

🔝 More of 🔝

• Zeke, Diontae, Warren, Zappe, 

🔑 Best Values 🔑 

• JuJu, Thornton, Hasty, Montgomery

🚫 Less of 🚫 

• Robinson, Austin

*Deeper GPP Plays In Order*

1. Ty Montgomery – RB2
2. Jalen Reagor – WR4 for the Pats. If Parker or JuJu were to miss, WR3
3. JaMycal Hasty – RB2/3
4. Darnell Washington
5. Pharaoh Brown
6. Connor Heyward

🔮 Prediction 🔮  

• Steelers 18-15

🎰 Bets 🎰 (+8.7 units)

• Parlay 0.5 unit +320 – .5 unit
• Elliott OVER 2.5 receptions
• Boswell OVER 1.5 FGM
• Diontae Johnson 25+ receiving yards
  • Elliot o2.5 receptions – 1 unit

📈 Rankings 📈 See Detailed Player Projections ⬇️

Click Here For Volpe’s Showdown Projections

If you have any lineup questions, ask me @mvolp in Discord before lock!