Volpe’s DraftKings NFL Showdown Plays – 11/5/23

Volpe’s NFL Showdown Plays – 11/5/23: Bills at Bengals

🏈 Sunday Night Showdown – 11/5/23 🏈
Bills @ Bengals | 8:20 PM EST
Bengals -2 | Over/Under 50.5

Projections are tailored to DraftKings’ Showdown Captain contests. If you have any lineup questions, for FanDuel or DraftKings, ask me @mvolp in Discord before lock!

Both teams have a lot to play for. The Bills are looking for revenge after losing to the Bengals in the playoffs last year. It will also be an emotional return to Cincinnati for the first time since the Damar Hamlin game. They will also be looking to take the lead in the division after the Dolphins dropped to 6-3 this morning. The Bengals seem to have hit their stride and have won three games in a row including a 31-17 over the 49ers last week. Joe Mixon is a crucial part to this matchup as most teams have been able to run on the Bills so his status will be key.

UPDATES: Joe Mixon is Active. Linvall Joseph and Rasul Douglas are both active for the Bills after being acquired earlier this week.

⭐ Notable News ⭐

• The Bengals rank 32nd against tight ends
• The Bills only blitz 22.9 percent of defensive plays, the fourth-lowest rate in the NFL. The Bills average 3.5 sacks per game, the fourth-most in the league, and pressure the opposing quarterback on 38.7 percent of plays. – Pressure is what gave Joe Burrow and the Bengals issues early on this season.

🩹 Key Injuries 🩹

• Bills: OUT: AJ Klein (LB)
• Bengals: OUT: Josh Tupou (DT) | 

🌦️ Weather 🌦️ 

• Paycor Stadium, Outdoors, 50 Degrees, 5-8 mph winds, 0% precipitation

🔄  Matchup History 🔄  

• 1/22/23: Bengals 27-10
• 9/22/19: Bills 21-17

🏈 QB Matchups 🏈 

• Bills Defense: Ranked 2nd | 16.7 FP/G allowed to QBs
• Bengals Defense: Ranked 18th | 20.7 FP/G allowed to QBs

🏃 RB Matchups 🏃 

• Bills Defense: Ranked 22nd | 23.6 FP/G allowed to RBs
• Bengals Defense: Ranked 17th | 21.2 FP/G allowed to RBs

🏈 TE Matchups 🏈

• Bills Defense: Ranked 4th | 8.9 FP/G allowed to TEs
• Bengals Defense: Ranked 32nd | 15.7 FP/G allowed to TEs

🧩 Core Players 🧩

• Tonight’s Build: 4-2, 3-3
• MUST-HAVES: Kincaid, Allen, Diggs, Chase
• Captains: TBD

🔝 More of 🔝

• Kincaid has had an exceptional two games as he became TE1 when Knox was injured. He now has a juicy matchup against the Bengals.

🔑 Best Values 🔑 

• Shakir, Irv Smith, Harty, Morris
• If Mixon is out Trayveon Williams

🚫 Less of 🚫 

• Shakir, Bass, Murray

*Deeper GPP Plays In Order*

1. Andrei Iosivas – scored in two straight
2. Deonte Harty
3. Quintin Morris
4. Chris Evans

🔮 Prediction 🔮  

• Bills 26-24

🎰 Bets 🎰 (+3.5 units)

1. Kincaid OVER 3.5 receptions -190 – 1.9 units to win 1 unit

📈 Rankings 📈 See Detailed Player Projections ⬇️

Click Here For Volpe’s Showdown Projections

If you have any lineup questions, ask me @mvolp in Discord before lock!