Volpe’s DraftKings NFL Showdown Plays – 1/7/24

Volpe's DraftKings NFL Showdown Plays

Volpe’s NFL Showdown Plays – 1/7/24: Bills at Dolphins

๐Ÿˆ Sunday Night Showdown – 1/7/24ย ๐Ÿˆ
Bills @ Dolphins | 8:15 PM EST
Bills -3 | Over/Under 48

Projections are tailored to DraftKings’ Showdown Captain contests. If you have any lineup questions, for FanDuel or DraftKings, ask me @mvolp in Discord before lock!

UPDATES: The Bills have clinched the playoffs with the Jaguars loss.

The Scenario is: Bills Win – 2 seed, host Steelers. Dolphins Win – 2 seed, host Bills.ย 

โญ Notable Info โญย 
  • The winner takes the AFC East. The Dolphins will be missing key pieces on both sides of the ball and if they win, they will have to face the Bills again next week.
๐Ÿฉนย Key Injuries ๐Ÿฉน
  • Bills: OUT: | QUES: Mitch Morse (C)
  • Dolphins: OUT: Bradley Chubb (LB), Jaelan Phillips (LB), Xavien Howard (CB) | QUES: Jaylen Waddle (WR), Raheem Mostert (RB) – both expected to be out
๐ŸŒฆ๏ธย Weather ๐ŸŒฆ๏ธย 
  • Hard Rock Stadium – OUTDOORS
  • 67 Degrees, 8-15 mph winds, 10% chance of rain
๐Ÿˆย QB Matchups ๐Ÿˆ
  • Bills: Ranked 8th | 18.7 FP/G allowed to QBs
  • Dolphins: Ranked 22nd | 21.4 FP/G allowed to QBs
๐Ÿƒย RB Matchups ๐Ÿƒย 
  • Bills: Ranked 19th | 21.5 FP/G allowed to RBs
  • Dolphins: Ranked 11th | 19.7 FP/G allowed to RBs
๐Ÿงคย WR Matchups ๐Ÿงคย 
  • Bills: Ranked 7th | 30.1 FP/G allowed to WRs
  • Dolphins: Ranked 19th | 34.5 FP/G allowed to WRs
๐Ÿˆย TE Matchups ๐Ÿˆ
  • Bills: Ranked 8th | 10.6 FP/G allowed to TEs
  • Dolphins: Ranked 17th | 12.4 FP/G allowed to TEs
๐Ÿงฉย Core Players ๐Ÿงฉ
  • Tonight’s Build: Bills 4-2 -60%, Bills 5-1 -20%, 3-3-20%
  • Must-Have: Tyreek, Allen
    • Captains: Achane, Cook, Cedrick Wilson Jr., Allen, Hill
    • GPP: Cedrick Wilson Jr., Kincaid
๐Ÿ” More of ๐Ÿ”
  • Tyreek, Josh Allen, Achane, Cook, Cedrick Wilson Jr.
๐Ÿ”‘ย Best Values ๐Ÿ”‘ย 
  • Cedrick Wilson Jr., Jeff Wilson Jr., Smythe, Fournette
๐Ÿšซย Less of ๐Ÿšซย 
  • ย Kickers, Gabe Davis
๐ŸŽฒ Deeper GPP Plays In Order ๐ŸŽฒ
  • Jeff Wilson Jr. – RB2 with Mostert expected to miss
  • Durham Smythe – TE1 has back to back 54+ games
  • Braxton Berrios – Without Waddle, he will be called
  • Dawson Knox – He is on the field a lot for his cheap price
  • Leonard Fournette – Activated for this matchup
๐Ÿ”ฎ Prediction ๐Ÿ”ฎ ย 
  • Bills 27-20 – Given the Dolphins injuries and the Bills drive to win the division and host a playoff game.
๐ŸŽฐ Bets ๐ŸŽฐ (+7.6 units)
  1. Bills -3 – 1 unit
  2. Smythe OVER 24.5 receiving yards – 0.5 unit
๐Ÿ“ˆย Rankings ๐Ÿ“ˆย See Detailed Player Projections โฌ‡๏ธ

Click Here For Volpe’s Showdown Projections

If you have any lineup questions, ask me @mvolp in Discord before lock!

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