GOAT’s 2023 Go Bowling at the Glen DFS Breakdown

GOAT's NASCAR DFS Breakdown

NASCAR Go Bowling at the Glen
Watkins Glen International
Sunday 08/20/23 3:00 PM
3.4 mile Road Course

This is a 90-lap event.

Last Race Notables: Larson won.  Elliott led 29 laps, Logano led 15 laps, McDowell led 14 laps, Custer and Briscoe led 7 laps, A. Dillon led 6 laps, Larson led 5 laps.  Start/Finish:  Logano 20/3, Bell 38/8, Jones 31/10, Custer 29/11, Harvick 24/12, Ty Dillon 28/16.

Remember, number of laps sway the importance of scoring in different directions.  Less laps = less laps led points, and less fastest lap points, making place finish and place differential points a bit more valuable.  Yes, you will still need the dominator, but there is less likely to be two or three of them that really separate themselves from the pack. I expect there to be two or three guys to get some significant laps led points this weekend.

Process:
Let me give you guys a better idea of what we are doing here for Nascar.  We put out an early article with some track stats and what drivers I will have my eyes on based on some numbers.  Things can change once qualifying and practice are over, so then we put out an update with drivers who seem to be fast or have had a good or bad qualifying run.  I put out a total of 12 drivers I like and a few who I am off.  The guys I am off are typically guys who don’t run that well here and have qualified in a decent position.

I am trying to narrow things down for you.  Too much information can just be confusing.  If you need more information, you can look at the projections tab.

Take a look at the scoring to better understand why I do it this way:

Point Scoring:
Drivers will accumulate points as follows:

DraftKings Scoring:

  • Place Differential = +/- 1 PTs (Where they start vs. where they finish….start 20th, finish 10th = 10 pts)
  • Fastest Laps = +0.5 PTs
  • Laps Led = +0.25 PTs
  • Finishing Position Scoring (winner: 46 pts, 2nd: 42 pts, 3rd: 41 pts, 4th: 40, 39, 38, 37, etc…)

FanDuel Scoring:

  • 0.1 PTs for each lap completed.
  • Place Differential = +/- 0.5 PTs (Where they start vs. where they finish….start 20th, finish 10th = 10 pts)
  • Fastest Laps = +0.5 PTs
  • Laps Led = +0.1 PTs
  • Finishing Position Scoring (winner: 43 pts, 2nd: 40 pts, 3rd: 38 pts, 4th: 37, 36, 35, 34, etc…)

Track Stats:

Last 4 Races Driver Pts Previous Winners Year Laps Led Average Finish
Elliott  188 Larson 2022 Elliott 161 Elliott 2
Larson 166 Larson 2021 Truex, Jr 39 Larson 4
Truex, Jr 161 Elliott 2019 Larson 38 Bell 7.5
Hamlin  141 Elliott 2018 Kyle Busch 31 Truex, Jr 7.5
Harvick 131 Truex, Jr 2017 Logano, Jr 26 Allmendinger 8.5
Kyle Busch 131 Hamlin 2016 McDowell 14 Reddick 8.5
Jones 116 Logano 2015 Kes 9 Harvick 9.3
Byron 111 Allmendinger 2014 Hamlin 8 Hamlin 10.3
McDowell 105 Kyle Busch 2013 Briscoe 7 Jones 11.5
Suarez 100 Ambrose 2012 Custer 7 Kyle Busch 12.5

Picks (DK pricing shown)

Top Tier:

  • Chase Elliott ($11,000) – Starting 15th.  
  • Kyle Larson ($10,800) – Starting 5th
  • Martin Truex Jr ($10,500) – Starting 19th.
  • Chris Bell ($10,000) Starting 7th

Mid Tier:

  • AJ Allmendinger ($9,300) – Starting 6th
  • Daniel Suarez ($9,500) – Starting 14th
  • Kevin Harvick ($7,600) – Starting 33rd.
  • Joey Logano ($7,800) – Starting 11th.

Sleepers:

  • Ryan Blaney($7,500) – Starting 23rd.    
  • Erik Jones ($6,500) – Starting 31st
  • Chase Briscoe ($7,300) –  Starting 26th.
  • Ricky Stenhouse ($5,900) – Starting 28th.  
  • Ty Dillon ($4,900) – Starting 36th

As usual, if you have any questions, hit me up on Twitter, @trmp31, or GOAT in Discord.

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