NASCAR Bank of America ROVAL 400
Charlotte Motor Speedway Road Course
Sunday 10/8/23 2:00 PM
2.28 mile Road Course
109-lap event and there have only been five races here, so track data is limited.
Last Race Notables: Bell won. Elliott led 30 laps, Logano led 27 laps, Allmendinger led 24 laps, Reddick led 21 laps. Start/Finish: Harvick 22/2, Kyle Busch 20/3, Buescher 21/6, Jones 26/11, Lajoie 30/12, Hamlin 24/13, Kes 31/14, Almirola 37/15.
Remember, number of laps sway the importance of scoring in different directions. Less laps = less laps led points, and less fastest lap points, which makes place finish and place differential points a bit more valuable. Yes, you will still need the dominator, but there is less likely to be two or three of them and really separate them from the pack. I expect there to be two or three guys to get some significant laps led points this weekend.
Process:
Let me give you guys a better idea of what we are doing here for Nascar. We put out an early article with some track stats and what drivers I will have my eyes on based on some numbers. Things can change once qualifying and practice are over, so then we put out an update with drivers who seem to be fast or have had a good or bad qualifying run. I put out a total of 12 drivers I like and a few who I am off. The guys I am off are typically guys who don’t run that well here and have qualified in a decent position.
I am trying to narrow things down for you. Too much information can just be confusing. If you need more information, you can look at the projections tab.
Take a look at the scoring to better understand why I do it this way:
Point Scoring:
Drivers will accumulate points as follows:
DraftKings Scoring:
- Place Differential = +/- 1 PTs (Where they start vs. where they finish….start 20th, finish 10th = 10 pts)
- Fastest Laps = +0.5 PTs
- Laps Led = +0.25 PTs
- Finishing Position Scoring (winner: 46 pts, 2nd: 42 pts, 3rd: 41 pts, 4th: 40, 39, 38, 37, etc…)
FanDuel Scoring:
- 0.1 PTs for each lap completed.
- Place Differential = +/- 0.5 PTs (Where they start vs. where they finish….start 20th, finish 10th = 10 pts)
- Fastest Laps = +0.5 PTs
- Laps Led = +0.1 PTs
- Finishing Position Scoring (winner: 43 pts, 2nd: 40 pts, 3rd: 38 pts, 4th: 37, 36, 35, 34, etc…)
Track Stats:
| Last 4 Races | Driver Pts | Previous Winners | Year | Laps Led | Average Finish | ||
| Elliott | 163 | Bell | 2022 | Elliott | 94 | Bowman | 6.7 |
| Logano | 153 | Larson | 2021 | Byron | 80 | Reddick | 7.3 |
| Blaney | 144 | Elliott | 2020 | Harvick | 38 | Elliott | 8.5 |
| Byron | 143 | Elliott | 2019 | Logano | 35 | Logano | 9.3 |
| Harvick | 117 | Blaney | 2018 | Allmendinger | 29 | Byron | 9.8 |
| Kes | 110 | Hamlin | 25 | Bell | 11 | ||
| Truex | 109 | Busch | 25 | Buescher | 11.8 | ||
| Buescher | 101 | Blaney | 24 | Blaney | 12 | ||
| Reddick | 100 | Reddick | 21 | Harvick | 12.3 | ||
| Bell | 99 | Larson | 13 | Hamlin | 13 |
Picks (DK pricing shown)
Top Tier:
- Chase Elliott ($10,500) – Starting 8th.
- Kyle Larson ($10,300) – Starting 36th.
- Denny Hamlin ($9,600) – Starting 9th.
- William Byron ($10,200) – Starting 14th.
Mid Tier:
- Joey Logano ($8,200) – Starting 7th.
- AJ Allmendinger ($9,000) – Starting 6th.
- Kevin Harvick ($7,800) – Starting 22nd.
- Chris Buescher ($8,800) – Starting 20th.
Sleepers:
- Brad Keselowski ($7,200) – Starting 19th.
- Erik Jones (6,900) – Starting 23rd.
- Ty Dillon ($4,900) – Starting 37th.
- Chase Briscoe ($7,400) – Starting 30th.
For More GOAT Bets: See Today’s Plays
As usual, if you have any questions, hit me up on Twitter, @trmp31, or @GOAT in Discord.
