Volpe’s NFL Showdown Plays – 1/7/24: Bills at Dolphins
🏈 Sunday Night Showdown – 1/7/24 🏈
Bills @ Dolphins | 8:15 PM EST
Bills -3 | Over/Under 48
Projections are tailored to DraftKings’ Showdown Captain contests. If you have any lineup questions, for FanDuel or DraftKings, ask me @mvolp in Discord before lock!
UPDATES: The Bills have clinched the playoffs with the Jaguars loss.
The Scenario is: Bills Win – 2 seed, host Steelers. Dolphins Win – 2 seed, host Bills.
⭐ Notable Info ⭐
- The winner takes the AFC East. The Dolphins will be missing key pieces on both sides of the ball and if they win, they will have to face the Bills again next week.
🩹 Key Injuries 🩹
- Bills: OUT: | QUES: Mitch Morse (C)
- Dolphins: OUT: Bradley Chubb (LB), Jaelan Phillips (LB), Xavien Howard (CB) | QUES: Jaylen Waddle (WR), Raheem Mostert (RB) – both expected to be out
🌦️ Weather 🌦️
- Hard Rock Stadium – OUTDOORS
- 67 Degrees, 8-15 mph winds, 10% chance of rain
🏈 QB Matchups 🏈
- Bills: Ranked 8th | 18.7 FP/G allowed to QBs
- Dolphins: Ranked 22nd | 21.4 FP/G allowed to QBs
🏃 RB Matchups 🏃
- Bills: Ranked 19th | 21.5 FP/G allowed to RBs
- Dolphins: Ranked 11th | 19.7 FP/G allowed to RBs
🧤 WR Matchups 🧤
- Bills: Ranked 7th | 30.1 FP/G allowed to WRs
- Dolphins: Ranked 19th | 34.5 FP/G allowed to WRs
🏈 TE Matchups 🏈
- Bills: Ranked 8th | 10.6 FP/G allowed to TEs
- Dolphins: Ranked 17th | 12.4 FP/G allowed to TEs
🧩 Core Players 🧩
- Tonight’s Build: Bills 4-2 -60%, Bills 5-1 -20%, 3-3-20%
- Must-Have: Tyreek, Allen
- Captains: Achane, Cook, Cedrick Wilson Jr., Allen, Hill
- GPP: Cedrick Wilson Jr., Kincaid
🔝 More of 🔝
- Tyreek, Josh Allen, Achane, Cook, Cedrick Wilson Jr.
🔑 Best Values 🔑
- Cedrick Wilson Jr., Jeff Wilson Jr., Smythe, Fournette
🚫 Less of 🚫
- Kickers, Gabe Davis
🎲 Deeper GPP Plays In Order 🎲
- Jeff Wilson Jr. – RB2 with Mostert expected to miss
- Durham Smythe – TE1 has back to back 54+ games
- Braxton Berrios – Without Waddle, he will be called
- Dawson Knox – He is on the field a lot for his cheap price
- Leonard Fournette – Activated for this matchup
🔮 Prediction 🔮
- Bills 27-20 – Given the Dolphins injuries and the Bills drive to win the division and host a playoff game.
🎰 Bets 🎰 (+7.6 units)
- Bills -3 – 1 unit
- Smythe OVER 24.5 receiving yards – 0.5 unit
📈 Rankings 📈 See Detailed Player Projections ⬇️
Click Here For Volpe’s Showdown Projections
If you have any lineup questions, ask me @mvolp in Discord before lock!
