Volpe’s DraftKings NFL Showdown Plays – 10/19/23

Volpe’s NFL Showdown Plays – 10/19/23: Jaguars at Saints

🏈 Thursday Night Showdown – 10/19/23 🏈
Jaguars @ Saints | 8:15 PM EST
Saints -2 | Over/Under 40

Projections are tailored to DraftKings’ Showdown Captain contests. If you have any lineup questions, FanDuel or DraftKings, ask me @mvolp in Discord before lock!

UPDATES: 

⭐ Notable News ⭐

• The Saints’ total has gone under in every game (all games between 31-37 points)
• The Saints haven’t allowed a rushing TD this season
• Both teams’ OL rank in the bottom 10, which makes both defenses attractive
• The Jags’ Defense leads the NFL in takeaways, with 15
• The Jaguars have allowed the 2nd most receiving yards per game to outside receivers (149)

🩹 Key Injuries 🩹

• Jags: OUT: Tyson Campbell (C, Hamstring), Zay Jones (WR, Knee) | QUES: Brandon Scherff (G, Ankle) Trevor Lawrence (QB, Knee)
• Saints: OUT: Juwan Johnson (TE, Calf), Ryan Ramczyk (OT, Concussion | QUES: Jamaal Williams (RB, Hamstring), Tyrann Mathieu (S, Foot), Demario Davis (LB, Knee)

🌦️ Weather 🌦️ 

• Caesars Superdome INDOORS

🔄  Matchup History 🔄  

• 10/13/2019: Saints 13-6
  

🏈 QB Matchups 🏈 (Through six weeks)

• Jags Defense: Ranked 27th | 23.9 FP/G allowed to QBs
• Saints Defense: Ranked 7th | 17.4 FP/G allowed to QBs

🏃 RB Matchups 🏃 (Through six weeks)

• Jags Defense: Ranked 13th | 18.2 FP/G allowed to RBs
• Saints Defense: Ranked 2nd | 14.0 FP/G allowed to RBs

🏈 TE Matchups 🏈 (Through six weeks)

• Jags Defense: Ranked 23rd | 13.2 FP/G allowed to TEs
• Saints Defense: Ranked 6th | 8.0 FP/G allowed to TEs

🧩 Core Players 🧩

• MUST-HAVES & Captains: Carr, Olave
• Olave – The Jags allowed the 2nd most receiving yards per game to outside receivers AND they are without Tyson Campbell. Olave averages 82 yards per game with Carr and has had at least 86 yards in 4 of 6 games. The two games he didn’t Carr didn’t play and in the other he was dealing with a toe injury.

🔝 More of 🔝

• Carr, Kamara, Etienne, Olave, Kirk, Thomas, Hill, Kickers, Defenses

🔑 Best Values 🔑 

• Carr, Moreau, Agnew, Strange

🚫 Less of 🚫 

• Evan Engram (Demario Davis is one of the best coverage LBs)
• Tank Bigsby (TD dependent and the Saints haven’t allowed a RB to score yet)
• Kendre Miller (Jamaal Williams should be back)

*Deeper GPP Plays In Order*

1. Foster Moreau – With Juwan Johnson out, he is the true TE, but Taysom is playing A LOT.
2. Brenton Strange – The rookie played a season high and scored his first TD last week.
3. Jamal Agnew – Zay Jones is out, so he is the one to step up.
4. Tim Jones – He will have some reps split with Agnew, he has yet to produce much.

🔮 Prediction 🔮  

• Saints 23-20

🎰 Bets 🎰 (+1.0 units)

1. Olave OVER 61.5 receiving yards – 2.5 units
2. Shaheed OVER 2.5 receptions – 1 unit

📈 Rankings 📈 See Detailed Player Projections ⬇️

Click Here For Volpe’s Showdown Projections

If you have any lineup questions, ask me @mvolp in Discord before lock!