⚽ EPL Slate – 12/3/23 ⚽
We have a solid four-game slate with Liverpool being massive favorites and a solid favorite in Chelsea being -145. I think we see some goals this slate. Salah will be my favorite play of the slate. Salah is an absolute monster at home.
If you have any lineup questions, ask me @Zab in Discord before lock!
UPDATES:
Matches:
Liverpool -400 vs. Fulham +850
- Match total is set at 3.5 goals with the juice on the under at -135
- Liv team total is set at 2.5 goals with the juice on the over -120 and under 2.5 -110
- Ful team total is set at over 0.5 goal -145 and under 1.5 goals -295
***betting leans Salah AGS / Liv ML
West Ham +100 vs. Crystal Palace +270
- Match total is set at 2.5 goals with the juice on the under at -120
- Whu team total over 1.5 goals +100 and under 1.5 goals -135
- Cp team total over 0.5 goal -245 and under 1.5 goals -295
***Btts- yes / Soucek to score last +850
Chelsea -145 vs. Brighton +340
- Match total is set at 3.5 goals with the juice on the under at -175
- Che team total is set at over 1.5 goals -180 and under 2.5 goals -240
- bha team total is set at over 0.5 goal -280 and under 1.5 goal -250
*** betting leans – Btts – yes / first half draw / over 2.5 and over 3.5 goals
Bournemouth +245 vs. Aston Villa +100
- Match total is set at 3.5 goals with the juice on the under -165
- Bou team total over 0.5 goal -400 and under 1.5 goal -175
- Avl team total is at over 1.5 goal -150 and under 2.5 goal -310
** betting leans – Btts – yes / over 2.5 goals
Main Targets:
- Salah (liv) (m/f) 10000 – Salah at home. I expect him to score. He’s going to be chalk.
- Nunez (liv) (f) 8100 –Biggest favorites on the board. I’ll want exposure.
- Diaz (liv) (m/f) 8200 – Biggest favorites on the board. I’ll want exposure.
- Willian (ful) (m/f) 7100
- Pererira (ful) (m) 5200 – Takes sets and fires crosses. Tough matchup against liv, though.
- Palhinha (ful) (m) 4900 – gpp target, won’t be on any of my main teams.
- Jackson (che) (f) 6800
- Gallagher (che) (m) 6000
- Palmer (che) (m) 7100 – He’s been scoring goals in big games. This game feels like shootout potential.
- Sterling (che) (m/f) 7900 – Feel like this game could go to the moon. He’s been on fire as of late.
- Ferguson (Bha) (f) 6200 – Goal scorer. Great pairing with Gross for a low owned goal/assist combo.
- Mitoma (Bha) (m) 5900 – Coming off injury, not sure he plays 90.
- Gross (bha) (m/f) 8900 – If he plays advanced, I’ll be all over him again.
- Bowen (whu) (m/f) 9000 – Q tag. Not sure I pay up for him, don’t think he plays 90. More of a gpp target.
- Soucek (whu) (m) 5800 – Scoring big late goals the last couple matches. Have a bet on him to score and to score last this match.
- Ward-Prowse (whu) (m) 8700 – Hasn’t been as good lately DFS-wise. Most likely will be owned in cash. Not sure I go there. Other spots I like more.
- Kudus (whu) (m) 7700 – Has been scoring and being involved in the attack lately.
- Edouard (CP) – Gpp target. Cp never looks as good with Eze out with injury
- Olise (CP) (m) 9300 – No Eze, he will have a monopoly of sets in this match. If Cp scores, he will be involved with it.
- Solanke (bou) (f) 6700 – Hasn’t scored in a couple games. He’s due.
- Cook (bou) – Cheap option.
- Tavernier (bou) (m) 7000 – Scored two goals last match. Should continue to stay involved in this offense.
- Watkins (avl) (m/f) 8500 – Goal scorer, he’s always a threat to score. This match has the chance to go to the moon.
- Diaby (avl) (m/f) 5800 – Has been more involved in the offense with shots and crosses.
- Luiz (avl) (m) 7500 – Takes some sets and on pens. 12 point floor.
Defense:
- Digne (avl) 5500 – One of the top cash options.
- Cash (avl) 4300 – Weird feeling he scores this slate.
- Alexander Arnold (liv) 6900 – Another top option. Guy is a monster for liv.
- Van-Dijk (liv) 3900 – Cheap option that can always pop in with a goal off a corner.
- Tsimikas (liv) 5700 – Gets up into the attack. I’ll be jamming in him or TAA in most of my lineups.
- Castagne (ful) 3400 – Going to finish with 4 or 5 points like most slates. Cheaper option to fit in the studs.
- Aguerd (whu) 3000 – Pending where he lines up, could move up into the attack. Against a weak cp side, I wouldn’t be shocked if he finishes around 5-6 points.
More defensive options will become available after lineups are released.
Scoring Notes:
- If you are playing on FanDuel, you’re searching for the goals. Goals count for 15 points, and shots are worth one point. Shots on goal are worth five, while assists are seven.
- For defenders, I like looking at cheap center mids who will be on the defensive. I target these players because they will rack up tackles and clearances. Occasionally will pop up with a cheap goal, also.
- If you are playing on DraftKings, goals are worth 10 points, shots are one, and shots on goal are one. Assists are worth six points.
- Playing on DK you want to look for set piece-takers and players that will be crossing the ball. Defenders won’t get as many points for tackles and clearances, so I’m targeting defenders who play on the outside who will move up and cross the ball in.
