Volpe’s NFL Showdown Plays – Vikings at Eagles:
? Thursday Night Showdown 9/14/23 ?
Vikings @ Eagles | 8:15 PM EST
Eagles -6.5 | Over/Under 49
My favorite play as of right now is Jordan Addison. Without James Bradberry at corner, the Vikings will look to exploit the replacement corner, Josh Jobe. WR2 is where the Patriots attacked last week as well, so all signs are pointing up for the rookie. KJ Osborn did play more snaps last week, but will spend more time in the slot in a more difficult matchup. KJ Osborn is still a GPP sleeper. The Vikings’ defense had a makeover, but they are still weak at corner, giving plus matchups to both AJ Brown and DeVonta Smith. Based off of last week’s performance, the Patriot running backs and tight ends racked up the catches against the Eagles. With all of this being said, I am leaning towards taking the points and the over.
⭐ Notable Info ⭐
- With Darrisaw the Center out it is a bump down to Mattison
- KJ Osborn has great leverage at Captain – 3-4% owned
? Key Injuries ?
- Vikings: OUT – Garret Bradbury (C, back). OUT- Christian Darrisaw (OT, Ankle)
- Eagles: OUT – James Bradberry (CB, concussion), Kenneth Gainwell (RB, Ribs). QUES – Fletcher Cox (DT, Ribs) IN*
?️ Weather ?️
- Philadelphia (Outdoors) | 68°F, 0% chance of rain, Wind 8-15 MPH
? Last Matchup ?
- 9/19/22: Eagles 24-7 – Quez Watkins scored on a 53-yard TD pass.
? QB Matchups ?
- Vikings Defense: Ranked 28th | 20.6 FP/G allowed to QBs
- Eagles Defense: Ranked 7th | 15.4 FP/G allowed to QBs
? RB Matchups ?
- Vikings Defense: Ranked 17th | 23.7 FP/G allowed to RBs – 4.2 YPC | 96.5 rushing yards/game | 5.0 receptions/game
- Eagles Defense: Ranked 16th | 22.7 FP/G allowed to RBs
? Core Players ?
- Cousins, Addison, Jefferson, 1 of Hurts, AJ Brown, DeVonta
? More of ?
- Addison, Hockenson, Swift, Penny, Osborn
? Best Values ?
- Swift, Penny, Goedert
? Less of ?
- Joseph, Watkins, Eagles DST
?Players that can win large GPPs ?
- Penny
- Osborn
- Watkins
- Ham
? Prediction ?
- Eagles 28 – Vikings 25
? Bets ?
- Vikings +7, buy half point for -120 (Risk 1.2 units to win 1 unit)
- Addison OVER 3.5 receptions -135 (Risk 1.35 units to win 1 unit)
- Mattison OVER 16.5 receiving yards +100 (Risk 0.5 units to win 0.5 units)
