Volpe’s NFL Showdown Plays – 12/4/23: Bengals at Jaguars
🏈 Monday Night Showdown – 12/4/23 🏈
Bengals @ Jaguars | 8:15 PM EST
Jaguars -10 | Over/Under 40.5
Projections are tailored to DraftKings’ Showdown Captain contests. If you have any lineup questions, for FanDuel or DraftKings, ask me @mvolp in Discord before lock!
UPDATES:
With three minutes to go in last night’s game I had a few lineups with multiple outs. I needed a little more Kelce last night, but none the less onto the next one.
Tonight’s game is similar in the sense that last night nobody thought the Packers could hang with the Chiefs. However, it is different in the fact that the Jaguars are at home and have been playing their best football as of late. You are going to need a few Bengals in large tournaments and they are priced down tonight. Jake Browning has been getting ready since preseason when Burrow was first injured. The Bengals should be trailing throughout and considering the Jaguars have allowed the fewest rushing yards this season, even in lineups with Mixon it should be from Browning throwing. The Bengals are desperate for a win to keep their playoff hopes alive.
⭐ Notable News ⭐
- Tyson Campbell is expected to return at corner, which will be a huge help to this Jacksonville secondary that allowed 304 passing yards and two TDs to Stroud last week.
- The Jaguars have allowed the FEWEST rushing yards in the NFL (59.2 per game).
- The Bengals’ defense ranks in the bottom six in the league in both passing yards and rushing yards allowed per game. Yet, they’ve done a relatively good job of keeping their opponents off the scoreboard, allowing just 22.0 points per game.
🩹 Key Injuries 🩹
- Bengals: OUT: Cam Taylor-Britt (CB)
- Jaguars: OUT: | QUES: Tyson Campbell (CB), Luke Farrell (TE), Travis Etienne (RB)
🌦️ Weather 🌦️
- EverBank Stadium – OUTDOORS
- 67 Degrees, 7 MPH Winds, 0% chance of precipitation
🏈 QB Matchups 🏈
- Bengals Defense: Ranked 26th | 22.0 FP/G allowed to QBs
- Jaguars Defense: Ranked 29th | 23.4 FP/G allowed to QBs
🏃 RB Matchups 🏃
- Bengals Defense: Ranked 19th | 21.5 FP/G allowed to RBs
- Jaguars Defense: Ranked 15th | 19.6 FP/G allowed to RBs
🧤 WR Matchups 🧤
- Bengals Defense: Ranked 17th | 33.4 FP/G allowed to WRs
- Jaguars Defense: Ranked 25th | 37.5 FP/G allowed to WRs
🏈 TE Matchups 🏈
- Bengals Defense: Ranked 31st | 15.6 FP/G allowed to TEs
- Jaguars Defense: Ranked 20th | 12.5 FP/G allowed to TEs
🧩 Core Players 🧩
- Tonight’s Build: 4-2 JAX
- Must-Have: Engram, Etienne
- Captains: Browning, Etienne, Lawrence, Engram
🔝 More of 🔝
- Lawrence, Ridley, Etienne, Browning, Chase
🔑 Best Values 🔑
- Evan Engram
🚫 Less of 🚫
- Bigsby, Trayveon Williams, McPherson
*Deeper GPP Plays In Order*
- Trenton Irwin
- Drew Sample – College teammate of Browning
- Chase Brown – blowout script?
🔮 Prediction 🔮
- Jaguars 25-17
🎰 Bets 🎰 (+7.2 units)
- SGP: Joe Mixon 2+ receptions -1200
- Engram 4+ receptions -430
- Etienne 50+ rush yards -500
- Parlay +120 – 0.5 unit
- Evan Engram OVER 4.5 receptions – 1 unit
- Trey Hendrickson o.75 sacks – 1 unit. His Birthday is tomorrow and he is going to need to force some pressure to give the Bengals a chance
📈 Rankings 📈 See Detailed Player Projections ⬇️
Click Here For Volpe’s Showdown Projections
If you have any lineup questions, ask me @mvolp in Discord before lock!