Volpe’s NFL Showdown Plays – 12/28/23: Jets at Browns
🏈 Thursday Night Showdown – 12/28/23 🏈
Jets @ Browns | 8:15 PM EST
Browns -7.5 | Over/Under 35
Projections are tailored to DraftKings’ Showdown Captain contests. If you have any lineup questions, for FanDuel or DraftKings, ask me @mvolp in Discord before lock!
UPDATES: AMARI COOPER IS OUT
⭐ Notable Info ⭐
- With Amari Cooper OUT, bump to Elijah Moore and Cedric Tillman. Slight decrease to Flacco’s projection
🩹 Key Injuries 🩹
- Jets: OUT: Zach Wilson (QB), Duane Brown (OT), Jeremy Ruckert (TE) | QUES: Greg Zuerlein (K), Israel Abanikanda (RB), Allen Lazard (WR)
- Browns: OUT: Dustin Hopkins (K) | DOUBTFUL: Corey Bojorquez (P) | QUES: Marquise Goodwin (WR), Kareem Hunt (RB), Amari Cooper (WR)
🌦️ Weather 🌦️
- Cleveland Browns Stadium – OUTDOORS
- 44 Degrees, 7-12 MPH winds, 20% chance of precipitation
🏈 QB Matchups 🏈
- Jets: Ranked 2nd | 16.3 FP/G allowed to QBs
- Browns: Ranked 5th | 17.6 FP/G allowed to QBs
🏃 RB Matchups 🏃
- Jets: Ranked 26th | 24.6 FP/G allowed to RBs – On average, gives up 134 rush yards on the road, also has given up eight out of the total 13 rushing TDs on the road. Good spot for Jerome Ford.
- Browns: Ranked 7th | 18.1 FP/G allowed to RBs
🧤 WR Matchups 🧤
- Jets: Ranked 1st | 21.9 FP/G allowed to WRs
- Browns: Ranked 2nd | 27.1 FP/G allowed to WRs
🏈 TE Matchups 🏈
- Jets: Ranked 18th | 12.3 FP/G allowed to TEs – decent matchup and Flacco loves Njoku
- Browns: Ranked 3rd | 9.6 FP/G allowed to TEs – HOWEVER, the Browns have allowed the most points to TEs over the last three weeks at 24.4 FP/G – Ty Conklin is in play.
🧩 Core Players 🧩
- Tonight’s Build: 4-2 CLE, 3-3
- Must-Have: Ford, Njoku
- Captains: Njoku, Flacco, Moore, Conklin
- GPP: Conklin, Moore
🔝 More of 🔝
- Hall, Njoku, Browns DST, Ford, Flacco, Wilson, Conklin, Moore/Tillman, NYJ D
🔑 Best Values 🔑
- Defenses, Tillman, Abanikanda, Brownlee
🚫 Less of 🚫
- Lazard, Cook
🎲 Deeper GPP Plays In Order 🎲
- Tillman – WR2 and Cooper should get a lot of attention
- Brownlee – WR2 playing over 80% of the snaps
- Gipson – Speedster gadget player who might be needed against the Browns
- Abanikanda – RB2 the last two games
- Strong – Hunt is questionable
🔮 Prediction 🔮
- Browns 22-17
🎰 Bets 🎰 (+6.85 units)
- Conklin OVER 26.5 receiving yards – 1.25 units – He has had four receptions in three straight games and the Browns have been attacked by Schultz, Kmet, and Engram in three consecutive weeks.
📈 Rankings 📈 See Detailed Player Projections ⬇️
Click Here For Volpe’s Showdown Projections
If you have any lineup questions, ask me @mvolp in Discord before lock!
