Volpe’s DraftKings NFL Showdown Plays – 12/21/23

Volpe's DraftKings NFL Showdown Plays

Volpe’s NFL Showdown Plays – 12/21/23: Saints at Rams

๐Ÿˆ Thursday Night Showdown – 12/21/23 ๐Ÿˆ
Saints @ Rams | 8:15 PM EST
Rams -3.5 | Over/Under 46

Projections are tailored to DraftKings’ Showdown Captain contests. If you have any lineup questions, for FanDuel or DraftKings, ask me @mvolp in Discord before lock!

UPDATES:ย 

โญ Notable Info โญย 
  • The Rams are a different offense with Kyren Williams in the backfield. LA averages 27 points per game when he plays compared to 14.25 when he doesnโ€™t. Since his last return, the Rams have put up 132 points over the last four weeks, including games vs. the Browns and Ravens โ€” the No. 1 and No. 2 defenses in EPA/play on the season. This offense has been a wagon indoors too, with Williams getting the ball. The back is averaging 5.5 yards per carry indoors compared to 4.08 outside and he currently ranks fourth in the league in rushing yards despite missing four games.
๐Ÿฉนย Key Injuries ๐Ÿฉน
  • Saints: OUT: Isaiah Foskey (DE), Lonnie Johnson Jr (CB), Ryan Ramczyk (OT) | QUES: Kendre Miller (RB)
  • Rams: OUT: Tre Tomlinson (CB) | QUES: Joe Noteboom (OT)
๐ŸŒฆ๏ธย Weather ๐ŸŒฆ๏ธย 
  • SoFi Stadium – INDOORS
๐Ÿˆย QB Matchups ๐Ÿˆ
  • Saints: Ranked 6th | 18.2 FP/G allowed to QBsย 
  • Rams: Ranked 21st | 21.8 FP/G allowed to QBs
๐Ÿƒย RB Matchups ๐Ÿƒย 
  • Saints: Ranked 6th | 18.2 FP/G allowed to RBs
  • Rams: Ranked 3rd | 17.2 FP/G allowed to RBs
๐Ÿงคย WR Matchups ๐Ÿงคย 
  • Saints: Ranked 3rd | 27.4 FP/G allowed to WRs
  • Rams: Ranked 18th | 34.0 FP/G allowed to WRs
๐Ÿˆย TE Matchups ๐Ÿˆ
  • Saints: Ranked 21st | 12.8 FP/G allowed to TEs
  • Rams: Ranked 26th | 13.6 FP/G allowed to TEs
๐Ÿงฉย Core Players ๐Ÿงฉ
  • Tonight’s Build: TBD.
  • Must-Have: Kyren, Kupp
    • Captains: TBD
    • GPP: AT Perry (10% owned), Rashid Shaheed (25% owned)
๐Ÿ” More of ๐Ÿ”
  • Kyren, Stafford, Olave
๐Ÿ”‘ย Best Values ๐Ÿ”‘ย 
  • Not great value tonight, perhaps the defenses because they are cheap
๐Ÿšซย Less of ๐Ÿšซย 
  • I am by no means fading these players, but based on matchups, I will have less of Kamara and Puka. I will also have less of Taysom Hill, given his recent injuries and tough matchup on the ground.
๐ŸŽฒ Deeper GPP Plays In Order ๐ŸŽฒ
  • AT Perry – Purely on exploiting a matchup against Derion Kendrick, who was roasted last week
  • Bowden Jr. – He has still been involved with or without Olave
  • Davis Allen – He looked good the last two weeks, so I think he has earned himself a role
  • Moreau – 2+ receptions in three straight. Relationship with Carr from LVR
  • Graham – Scored a TD in three straight games
๐Ÿ”ฎ Prediction ๐Ÿ”ฎ ย 
  • Rams 23-20
๐ŸŽฐ Bets ๐ŸŽฐ (+6.2 units)
  • Parlay +375: $60 to win $285
    • Chris Olave OVER 4.5 Receptions -150
    • Tyler Higbee OVER 2.5 Receptions -125
    • Kyren OVER 81.5 rush yards -170
  • ๐ŸŽ„Merry Christmas ya filthy animals ๐ŸŽ„
๐Ÿ“ˆย Rankings ๐Ÿ“ˆย See Detailed Player Projections โฌ‡๏ธ

Click Here For Volpe’s Showdown Projections

If you have any lineup questions, ask me @mvolp in Discord before lock!

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