Volpe’s NFL Showdown Plays – 11/9/23: Panthers at Bears
🏈 Thursday Night Showdown – 11/9/23 🏈
Panthers @ Bears | 8:15 PM EST
Bears -3.5 | Over/Under 38.5
Projections are tailored to DraftKings’ Showdown Captain contests. If you have any lineup questions, for FanDuel or DraftKings, ask me @mvolp in Discord before lock!
Yes, we should have another ugly football game on Thursday Night Football. However, we do have some interesting matchups. DJ Moore is facing his former team for the first time and I certainly expect him to see more targets than usual. D’Onta Foreman is also in a revenge game against the Panthers after running for nearly 1,000 yards with them last year. The Panthers have allowed the fifth most rushing yards in the NFL and three of those teams have played an extra game. The Bears aren’t expecting to activate Herbert, so this should be the Foreman show. On the other side of the ball, tight ends have beaten the Bears’ defense, so I like Hurst and Tremble to have decent days. The Bears have actually allowed the sixth fewest rushing yards in the NFL, but receiving backs have done a lot of damage on their way to allowing a league-high five receiving TDs to running backs. Miles Sanders has had an awful year, leading to him becoming RB2. However, he was back in the mix last week and he is a receiving back to look out for.
UPDATES: Khalil Herbert was not activated off of the IR
Carolina pass advantage, Chicago rush advantage
⭐ Notable News ⭐
- Bears have allowed 59 receptions to TEs, which is a league high (Hurst, Tremble)
- Bears have allowed sixth fewest rushing yards, but league-high five TDs
- DJ Moore and D’Onta Foreman are playing against their former team for the first time
- Panthers have allowed the fifth most rushing yards
🩹 Key Injuries 🩹
- Panthers: OUT: Brian Burns (LB), CJ Henderson (CB), Laviska Shenault (WR), DJ Chark (WR) | QUES: Xavier Woods (S, Thigh), Vonn Bell (S), Marquis Haynes (LB)
- Bears: OUT: Nate Davis (OL), Tremaine Edmunds (LB) | QUES: Justin Fields (QB), Khalil Herbert (RB, Ankle)
🌦️ Weather 🌦️
- Soldier Field, Outdoors, 45 Degrees, 10-15 mph winds, 0% precipitation
🔄 Matchup History 🔄
- 10/18/20: Bears 23-16
🏈 QB Matchups 🏈
- Panthers Defense: Ranked 3rd | 16.7 FP/G allowed to QBs
- Bears Defense: Ranked 26th | 22.6 FP/G allowed to QBs
🏃 RB Matchups 🏃
- Panthers Defense: Ranked 31st | 29.5 FP/G allowed to RBs
- Bears Defense: Ranked 27th | 24.8 FP/G allowed to RBs
🏈 TE Matchups 🏈
- Panthers Defense: Ranked 8th | 9.9 FP/G allowed to TEs
- Bears Defense: Ranked 30th | 15.7 FP/G allowed to TEs
🧩 Core Players 🧩
- Tonight’s Build: 4-2 Bears
- MUST-HAVES: Foreman, DJ Moore, Mingo
- Captains: Foreman, Moore, Bagent
🔝 More of 🔝
- DJ Moore, Foreman, Hurst, Tremble, Sanders, Hubbard, Thielen, Marshall
🔑 Best Values 🔑
- Mingo (Chark OUT), Terrance Marshall
🚫 Less of 🚫
- Mooney
*Deeper GPP Plays In Order*
- Jonathan Mingo – will play nearly every snap
- Tommy Tremble – great matchup, scored in 2 of his last 4
- Tyler Scott
🔮 Prediction 🔮
- Bears 20-17
🎰 Bets 🎰 (+2.4 units)
- Foreman OVER 62.5 rushing yards – 1 unit
- Miles Sanders OVER 1.5 receptions – .5 unit
📈 Rankings 📈 See Detailed Player Projections ⬇️
Click Here For Volpe’s Showdown Projections
If you have any lineup questions, ask me @mvolp in Discord before lock!
