Volpe’s NFL Showdown Plays – 10/26/23: Bucs at Bills
๐ Thursday Night Showdown – 10/26/23 ๐
Bucs @ Bills | 8:20 PM EST
Bills -9.5 | Over/Under 43.5
Projections are tailored to DraftKings’ Showdown Captain contests. If you have any lineup questions, for FanDuel or DraftKings, ask me @mvolp in Discord before lock!
UPDATES: Vita Vea is OUT
โญ Notable Newsย โญ
- The Bucs have been stout against the run and stingy against tight ends
๐ฉนย Key Injuries ๐ฉน
- Bucs: OUT: Matt Feiler (G, Knee), Kaevon Merriweather (S), Vita Vea (D)
- Bills: OUT: Dawson Knox (TE, Wrist), Quinten Morris (TE, Ankle) | QUES: Ed Oliver (DT, Toe)
๐ฆ๏ธย Weather ๐ฆ๏ธย
- Highmark Stadium, Outdoors. 65 degrees, 9-20 MPH winds, 5% chance of rain
๐ ย Matchup History ๐ ย
- 12/12/2021: Bucs 33-27 OT
๐ย QB Matchups ๐ย
- Bucs Defense: Ranked 23rd | 21.4 FP/G allowed to QBs
- Bills Defense: Ranked 2nd | 16.0 FP/G allowed to QBs
๐ย RB Matchups ๐ย
- Bucs Defense: Ranked 11th | 18.6 FP/G allowed to RBs – DT Vita Vea is Questionable
- Bills Defense: Ranked 22nd | 23.8 FP/G allowed to RBs
๐ย TE Matchups ๐
- Bucs Defense: Ranked 11th | 10.3 FP/G allowed to TEs
- Bills Defense: Ranked 8th | 9.2 FP/G allowed to TEs
๐งฉย Core Players ๐งฉ
- Tonight’s Build: 3-3 or 4-2
- MUST-HAVES: Allen, Diggs
- Captains: White, Davis
- I typically avoid the high ownership captains, which Allen and Diggs will be the highest owned captains for good reason.
๐ย More of ๐
- Allen, Diggs, Evans, White, Cook, Kincaid, Godwin, Davis, Palmer
๐ย Best Values ๐ย
- Kincaid, Otton, Thompkins
๐ซย Less of ๐ซย
- McLaughlin, Shakir, Murray, Mayfield
*Deeper GPP Plays In Order*
- Palmer – The 6th round pick is on the field nearly 70% of the time and Godwin is questionable
- Thompkins – Has had 3 or 4 targets in five of his six games
- Shakir – 30-40% of the snaps, and coming off of a season-high four receptions
- Harty – Plays about 25% of the snaps, but they like his speed. He usually sees 2-3 targets
- Sherfield – Also plays approximately 25% of the snaps
- Edmonds – Activated for the first time since week 2
- Bills TE4 Joel Wilson? –With Knox and Morris out, he will see some snaps
๐ฎ Prediction ๐ฎ ย
- Bills 24-16
๐ฐ Bets ๐ฐ (+2.0 units)
- Kincaid OVER 3.5 receptions – 0.5 unit
๐ย Rankings ๐ย See Detailed Player Projections โฌ๏ธ
Click Here For Volpe’s Showdown Projections
If you have any lineup questions, ask me @mvolp in Discord before lock!
Post Views: 939