Volpe’s DraftKings NFL Showdown Plays – 10/26/23

Volpe's DraftKings NFL Showdown Plays

Volpe’s NFL Showdown Plays – 10/26/23: Bucs at Bills

๐Ÿˆ Thursday Night Showdown – 10/26/23 ๐Ÿˆ
Bucs @ Bills | 8:20 PM EST
Bills -9.5 | Over/Under 43.5

Projections are tailored to DraftKings’ Showdown Captain contests. If you have any lineup questions, for FanDuel or DraftKings, ask me @mvolp in Discord before lock!

UPDATES: Vita Vea is OUT

โญ Notable Newsย โญ
  • The Bucs have been stout against the run and stingy against tight ends
๐Ÿฉนย Key Injuries ๐Ÿฉน
  • Bucs: OUT: Matt Feiler (G, Knee), Kaevon Merriweather (S), Vita Vea (D)
  • Bills: OUT: Dawson Knox (TE, Wrist), Quinten Morris (TE, Ankle) | QUES: Ed Oliver (DT, Toe)
๐ŸŒฆ๏ธย Weather ๐ŸŒฆ๏ธย 
  • Highmark Stadium, Outdoors. 65 degrees, 9-20 MPH winds, 5% chance of rain
๐Ÿ”„ ย Matchup History ๐Ÿ”„ ย 
  • 12/12/2021: Bucs 33-27 OT
๐Ÿˆย QB Matchups ๐Ÿˆย 
  • Bucs Defense: Ranked 23rd | 21.4 FP/G allowed to QBs
  • Bills Defense: Ranked 2nd | 16.0 FP/G allowed to QBs
๐Ÿƒย RB Matchups ๐Ÿƒย 
  • Bucs Defense: Ranked 11th | 18.6 FP/G allowed to RBs – DT Vita Vea is Questionable
  • Bills Defense: Ranked 22nd | 23.8 FP/G allowed to RBs
๐Ÿˆย TE Matchups ๐Ÿˆ
  • Bucs Defense: Ranked 11th | 10.3 FP/G allowed to TEs
  • Bills Defense: Ranked 8th | 9.2 FP/G allowed to TEs
๐Ÿงฉย Core Players ๐Ÿงฉ
  • Tonight’s Build: 3-3 or 4-2
  • MUST-HAVES: Allen, Diggs
  • Captains: White, Davis
    • I typically avoid the high ownership captains, which Allen and Diggs will be the highest owned captains for good reason.
๐Ÿ”ย More of ๐Ÿ”
  • Allen, Diggs, Evans, White, Cook, Kincaid, Godwin, Davis, Palmer
๐Ÿ”‘ย Best Values ๐Ÿ”‘ย 
  • Kincaid, Otton, Thompkins
๐Ÿšซย Less of ๐Ÿšซย 
  • McLaughlin, Shakir, Murray, Mayfield

*Deeper GPP Plays In Order*

  1. Palmer – The 6th round pick is on the field nearly 70% of the time and Godwin is questionable
  2. Thompkins – Has had 3 or 4 targets in five of his six games
  3. Shakir – 30-40% of the snaps, and coming off of a season-high four receptions
  4. Harty – Plays about 25% of the snaps, but they like his speed. He usually sees 2-3 targets
  5. Sherfield – Also plays approximately 25% of the snaps
  6. Edmonds – Activated for the first time since week 2
  7. Bills TE4 Joel Wilson? –With Knox and Morris out, he will see some snaps
๐Ÿ”ฎ Prediction ๐Ÿ”ฎ ย 
  • Bills 24-16
๐ŸŽฐ Bets ๐ŸŽฐ (+2.0 units)
  1. Kincaid OVER 3.5 receptions – 0.5 unit

๐Ÿ“ˆย Rankings ๐Ÿ“ˆย See Detailed Player Projections โฌ‡๏ธ

Click Here For Volpe’s Showdown Projections

If you have any lineup questions, ask me @mvolp in Discord before lock!

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