Volpe’s DraftKings NFL Showdown Plays – 10/12/23

Volpe’s NFL Showdown Plays – 10/12/23: Broncos at Chiefs

? Monday Night Showdown – 10/12/23 ?
Broncos (1-4) @ Chiefs (4-1) | 8:15 PM EST
Chiefs -11 | Over/Under 47

A primetime divisional matchup normally indicates a tough battle and close game. However, this AFC West matchup seems to be a mismatch. The Chiefs currently have a 15-game win streak against the Denver Broncos. The Broncos will be going into Arrowhead attempting to upset the 4-1 Chiefs.

UPDATES: Kelce & Dulcich are both ACTIVE

⭐ Notable News ⭐

• Consistent Winds of 15-20MPH. Wind gusts could reach up to 40MPH, so stay tuned to the weather updates.
• Jerick McKinnon has scored a touchdown in three consecutive games against the Broncos. His stats over that span are 15 receptions for 200 yards and five TDs.
• Kelce hasn’t surpassed 71 receiving yards over his last four games vs. Denver.
• Greg Dulcich could return for the Broncos.

? Key Injuries ? 

• Broncos: OUT: DJ Jones (DT, Knee), Baron Browning (LB, Knee), Frank Clark (LB, Illness) | QUES: Greg Dulcich (TE, Hamstring)
• Chiefs: QUES: Travis Kelce (TE, Ankle), Tommy Townsend (P, Knee) – BOTH ACTIVE

?️ Weather ?️ 

• GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium – Outdoors: 70 degrees, 0% chance of rain, 12-16 mph winds – chance of gusts

? Matchup History ? 

• The Chiefs have won 15 consecutive games against the Broncos.
• 1/1/23: Chiefs 27-24  
• 12/11/22: Chiefs 34-28
• 1/8/22: Chiefs 28-24
• 12/5/21: Chiefs 22-9

? QB Matchups ? (Through five weeks)

• Broncos Defense: Ranked 30th | 26.0 FP/G allowed to QBs
• Chiefs Defense: Ranked 9th | 17.6 FP/G allowed to QBs

? RB Matchups ? (Through five weeks)

• Broncos Defense: Ranked 32nd | 41.9 FP/G allowed to RBs
• Chiefs Defense: Ranked 6th | 15.5 FP/G allowed to RBs

?TE Matchups ? (Through five weeks)

• Broncos Defense: Ranked 26th | 15.1 FP/G allowed to TEs
• Chiefs Defense: Ranked 20th | 12.9 FP/G allowed to TEs

? OL/DL Matchups ?

• Broncos OL: Rated 14th according to PFF. Garrett Bolles and Quinn Meinerz lead this OL
• Chiefs OL: Rated 7th according to PFF. Joe Thuney has yet to allow a sack

? Core Players ?

• MUST-HAVES: Pacheco, Mahomes
• Captains: TBD
• Flex: Pacheco, Mahomes
• GPP: MCKINNON

? More of ? 

• Pacheco, Mahomes, Kelce, McKinnon, Toney, Rice, Wilson, Jeudy, McLaughlin, Butker, Chiefs DST

? Best Values ? 

• Toney, Broncos DST, Watson, Clyde

? Less of ? 

• Lutz, MVS, Skyy, Javonte, Sutton

?Deeper GPP Plays In Order ?

1. Marvin Mims
2. Clyde Edwards-Helaire
3. Justin Watson
4. Brandon Johnson
5. Greg Dulcich
6. Justyn Ross

? Prediction ? 

• Chiefs 29-17

? Bets ? (-1.5 units)

1. Russell Wilson OVER 19.5 rushing yards – 1 unit – The Chiefs are allowing an average of 18.5 rushing yards to QBs. Wilson will be trying his best in a primetime divisional matchup. In their two matchups last year, Wilson had 27 rushing yards with two TDs and 57 rushing yards.
2. McKinnon OVER 13.5 receiving yards – 0.7 unit
3. McKinnon anytime TD +280 – 0.7 unit to win 2 units

? Rankings ? See Detailed Player Projections ⬇️

Click Here For Volpe’s Showdown Projections

If you have any lineup questions, ask me @mvolp in Discord before lock!