Volpe’s DraftKings NFL Showdown Plays – 10/12/23

Volpe's DraftKings NFL Showdown Plays

Volpe’s NFL Showdown Plays – 10/12/23: Broncos at Chiefs

? Monday Night Showdown – 10/12/23 ?
Broncos (1-4) @ Chiefs (4-1) | 8:15 PM EST
Chiefs -11 | Over/Under 47

A primetime divisional matchup normally indicates a tough battle and close game. However, this AFC West matchup seems to be a mismatch. The Chiefs currently have a 15-game win streak against the Denver Broncos. The Broncos will be going into Arrowhead attempting to upset the 4-1 Chiefs.

UPDATES: Kelce & Dulcich are both ACTIVE

Notable News ⭐
  • Consistent Winds of 15-20MPH. Wind gusts could reach up to 40MPH, so stay tuned to the weather updates.
  • Jerick McKinnon has scored a touchdown in three consecutive games against the Broncos. His stats over that span are 15 receptions for 200 yards and five TDs.
  • Kelce hasn’t surpassed 71 receiving yards over his last four games vs. Denver.
  • Greg Dulcich could return for the Broncos.
? Key Injuries
  • Broncos: OUT: DJ Jones (DT, Knee), Baron Browning (LB, Knee), Frank Clark (LB, Illness) | QUES: Greg Dulcich (TE, Hamstring)
  • Chiefs: QUES: Travis Kelce (TE, Ankle), Tommy Townsend (P, Knee) – BOTH ACTIVE
?️ Weather ?️ 
  • GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium – Outdoors: 70 degrees, 0% chance of rain, 12-16 mph winds – chance of gusts
? Matchup History ? 
  • The Chiefs have won 15 consecutive games against the Broncos.
  • 1/1/23: Chiefs 27-24  
  • 12/11/22: Chiefs 34-28
  • 1/8/22: Chiefs 28-24
  • 12/5/21: Chiefs 22-9
? QB Matchups ? (Through five weeks)
  • Broncos Defense: Ranked 30th | 26.0 FP/G allowed to QBs
  • Chiefs Defense: Ranked 9th | 17.6 FP/G allowed to QBs
? RB Matchups ? (Through five weeks)
  • Broncos Defense: Ranked 32nd | 41.9 FP/G allowed to RBs
  • Chiefs Defense: Ranked 6th | 15.5 FP/G allowed to RBs
?TE Matchups ? (Through five weeks)
  • Broncos Defense: Ranked 26th | 15.1 FP/G allowed to TEs
  • Chiefs Defense: Ranked 20th | 12.9 FP/G allowed to TEs
? OL/DL Matchups ?
  • Broncos OL: Rated 14th according to PFF. Garrett Bolles and Quinn Meinerz lead this OL
  • Chiefs OL: Rated 7th according to PFF. Joe Thuney has yet to allow a sack
? Core Players ?
  • MUST-HAVES: Pacheco, Mahomes
  • Captains: TBD
  • Flex: Pacheco, Mahomes
  • GPP: MCKINNON
? More of
  • Pacheco, Mahomes, Kelce, McKinnon, Toney, Rice, Wilson, Jeudy, McLaughlin, Butker, Chiefs DST
? Best Values
  • Toney, Broncos DST, Watson, Clyde
? Less of
  • Lutz, MVS, Skyy, Javonte, Sutton
?Deeper GPP Plays In Order ?
  1. Marvin Mims
  2. Clyde Edwards-Helaire
  3. Justin Watson
  4. Brandon Johnson
  5. Greg Dulcich
  6. Justyn Ross
? Prediction
  • Chiefs 29-17
? Bets ? (-1.5 units)
  1. Russell Wilson OVER 19.5 rushing yards – 1 unit – The Chiefs are allowing an average of 18.5 rushing yards to QBs. Wilson will be trying his best in a primetime divisional matchup. In their two matchups last year, Wilson had 27 rushing yards with two TDs and 57 rushing yards.
  2. McKinnon OVER 13.5 receiving yards – 0.7 unit
  3. McKinnon anytime TD +280 – 0.7 unit to win 2 units

? Rankings ? See Detailed Player Projections ⬇️

Click Here For Volpe’s Showdown Projections

If you have any lineup questions, ask me @mvolp in Discord before lock!

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