GOAT’s 2/25/24 Ambetter Health 400 Daily Fantasy Plays

Ambetter Health 400
Atlanta Motor Speedway
Sunday 2/25/24 3:00 PM
1.54 mile, Paved

Hello 4Deep.  NASCAR at Atlanta, which is a mile and a half track.  This is a 260-lap event.

Last Race Notables: Byron won.  Almirola led 46 laps, Buescher led 39 laps, Blaney led 20 laps, Byron and Kes led 19 laps, Logano led 11 laps.  Start/Finish:  18/1 Byron, 26/2 Suarez, 19/3 Allmendinger, 20/4 McDowell, 22/5 Busch, 24/7 Yeley, 29/10 Stenhouse, 25/11 Jones, 23/13 Elliott.

Remember, number of laps sway the importance of scoring in different directions.  Less laps means less laps led points, and less fastest lap points, making place finish and place differential points a bit more valuable.  Yes, you will still need the dominator, but there is less likelihood that you need to roster two or three of them and really separate them from the pack. 

Process:

Let me give you guys a better idea of what we are doing here for Nascar.  We put out an early article with some track stats and what drivers I will have my eyes on based on some numbers.  Things can change once qualifying and practice are over, so then we put out an update with drivers who seem to be fast or have had a good or bad qualifying run.  I put out a total of 12 drivers I like and a few who I am off.  The guys I am off are typically guys who don’t run that well here and have qualified in a decent position.

I am trying to narrow things down for you.  Too much information can just be confusing.  If you need more information, you can look at the projections tab.

Take a look at the scoring to better understand why I do it this way:

Point Scoring:

Drivers will accumulate points as follows:

DraftKings Scoring:
  • Place Differential = +/- 1 PTs (Where they start vs. where they finish….start 20th, finish 10th = 10 pts)
  • Fastest Laps = +0.5 PTs
  • Laps Led = +0.25 PTs
  • Finishing Position Scoring (winner: 46 pts, 2nd: 42 pts, 3rd: 41 pts, 4th: 40, 39, 38, 37, etc…)
FanDuel Scoring:
  • 0.1 PTs for each lap completed.
  • Place Differential = +/- 0.5 PTs (Where they start vs. where they finish….start 20th, finish 10th = 10 pts)
  • Fastest Laps = +0.5 PTs
  • Laps Led = +0.1 PTs
  • Finishing Position Scoring (winner: 43 pts, 2nd: 40 pts, 3rd: 38 pts, 4th: 37, 36, 35, 34, etc…)

Track Stats:

Last 4 Races Driver Pts Previous Winners Year Laps Led Average Finish
Blaney 160 Byron 2023 Byron 171 Elliott 6.7
Logano 125 Logano 2023 Logano 163 Jones 9.3
Byron 125 Elliott 2022 Elliott 125 Allmendinger 9.5
Elliott 124 Byron 2022 Chastain 79 Blaney 9.5
Suarez 122 Kurt Busch 2021 Almirola 69 Kes 9.5
Cindric 120 Blaney 2021 Kes 66 Suarez 10.3
Jones 117 Harvick 2020 Buescher 44 Haley 12
Chastain 107 Kes 2019 Blaney 42 Busch 12.5
Haley 104 Harvick 2018 Truex 37 Chastain 13
Bell 99 Kes 2017 Stenhouse 31 Logano 13.3

Picks (DK pricing shown)

Top Tier Above $9500:

  • Ryan Blaney ($10,200) Starting 6th.   
  • William Byron ($10,000) Starting 11th.  
  • Chase Elliott ($9,800) Starting 28th.  
  • Joey Logano ($10,300) Starting 2nd

Mid Tier $7500-$9500:

  • Brad Keselowski ($9,300) Starting 24th.   
  • Ross Chastain ($8,600) Starting 21st.   
  • Martin Truex, Jr ($9,000) Starting 12th.  
  • Chris Buescher ($8,300)  Starting 7th
  • Erik Jones ($8,000) – Starting 37th.  

Sleepers Under $7500:

  • Daniel Suarez ($7,300) Starting 23rd.  
  • John H. Nemechek ($6,200) Starting 34th.  
  • Corey Lajoie ($6,800) Starting 32nd.  
  • Ricky Stenhouse ($7,500) Starting 27th.  

For More GOAT Bets: See Today’s Plays

As usual, if you have any questions, hit me up on Twitter, @trmp31, or @GOAT in Discord.

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