Dmar’s Daily CFB DraftKings Plays – 9/30/23

DMar's DraftKings CFB Daily Fantasy Plays

Dmar’s CFB Daily Fantasy Intro:

What’s up, 4Deep?! Week 5 is here. Enjoy another great day of football and let’s take something down! Like always, I will be in Discord (@Dmar) to help assist you with your teams before lock. Good luck, everyone!

UPDATES: Adding Tyrone Broden to the player pool and using him in my KJ teams, cheap price for a talented WR who’s snap count more than doubled this past week.  

Quarterbacks:

  • Caleb Williams – Top dog in the college football world, Williams steps into a very good spot that we just saw Bo Nix dominate last week. Williams will come with some ownership, but he provides the safest floor on the slate and my only concern is if this game gets out of hand and he isn’t asked to do much in the second half.
  • Quinn Ewers – One of the more fantasy-friendly games on the slate, Ewers is set up to have a big day if the passing game becomes the focal point. Kansas has continued to give up big games to opposing QBs and they have yet to see a passing attack like Texas presents. Jalon Daniels on the other side makes for an interesting play with his price and the ability he brings. The Texas defense has been lights out to start the year, but this Kansas offense will put up some points, and with how good the Texas run defense has been, it will be up to Daniels to provide that.  
  • KJ Jefferson – This game might be my favorite of the day when it comes to playing both QBs. I lean KJ mainly due to his rushing and I think he will be playing from behind more. Both teams stop the run better than the pass, but both have also allowed big games to opposing QBs. KJ will be asked to carry this team with his arm and legs, and he has shown in the past he is fully capable of doing that and will want to perform well at home after dropping the last two. Max Johnson on the other side stepped into what will be the starting role after Weigman has been ruled out the rest of the season. Max has a great arm and should really utilize these stellar WRs A&M have to offer. He had some monster games filling in at LSU with some similar talent. He doesn’t provide rushing upside, but he has one of the best matchups on the day through the air and should have no problem putting up big numbers.  
  • Luke Altmyer – Altmyer has quietly put up some good games this season, outside of facing a tough Penn State defense. But, this is a matchup where he could find some success, and for the price, he doesn’t have to do a lot to get there, but also gives us some rushing ability. Hudson Card on the other side is in a similar spot where he can have success against a weaker defense. I just prefer the cheaper Altmyer.
  • Trenton Bourguet – Simply a pricing play, as Bourguet is the last man standing in this ASU QB room. This is a game where they are big road dogs and he should be asked to sling it around all game. It might be ugly, but he doesn’t need a lot to pay off and Cal’s defense isn’t anything special.
  • GPP Mentions: Shedeur Sanders, Taulia Tagovailoa, Drew Allar, Seth Henigan, Devin Leary, Graham Mertz

Running Backs:

  • Nick Singleton – I think this is the week we finally see Singleton have a huge game. This matchup is great and while we always have to worry about his running mate, Kaytron Allen, stealing the show, I will take the discount with Singleton. The prices for both are a little steep, but I do think this is a matchup both could get theirs. If you want to get wild, you can play both in a lineup.
  • Blake Corum – Same thing as last week, Corum is the safest play on the board at the RB spot and should give you 20+ in almost every matchup.
  • Marshawn Lloyd – In typical Lincoln Riley fashion, he has turned to one guy after the first few weeks and it appears Lloyd is that guy. In lineups I’m not playing Caleb, I will have Lloyd, as USC is the best offense on the slate this week and if they don’t score 45+, I will be shocked. I think you can even play both Lloyd and Williams together and not play a WR with Williams.
  • Ray Davis – Everything about this play goes against the numbers, but I have seen Kentucky play enough to know when they win a game like this, it’s usually their talented RB who gets the job done. Davis is the best player on this offense and while Florida’s run defense is good, the ‘Cats have to give Davis his touches to open up the passing attack. Davis is in a spot I can see 100 yards and a couple scores where he should have decreased ownership.
  • Cam Skattebo – With the new QB stepping in, ASU should lean on their talented back in this one. While the game script isn’t favorable, Skattebo should still see his fair share of work. He put up a 40-piece in a game against USC in which they trailed the whole game.
  • Will Shipley – We get a minimal price increase after a 26-point performance against a much better defense. Shipley is simply too valuable to this offense to be priced the way he is and is a play you can feel safe rostering.
  • Jonathan Brooks – It looks like Brooks has taken the RB1 role on this offense, and while the freshman CJ Baxter will steal some carries, this is Brooks’ backfield. Very favorable matchup and a decent price range here. I don’t mind the Baxter play as well for a GPP play since his price is low.
  • Daijun Edwards – This should be an ugly game, but Edwards has looked great this year, and due to other injuries in the backfield, he may be asked to carry the ball more than normal. He becomes a much better play if Milton is ruled out in this one.
  • Jaylin Lucas – Our guy Lucas is back on the slate and after a puzzling poor performance last week, I think he can bounce back in this spot and give us a good PPR performance. It is encouraging that he had a season-high in carries last week.
  • Ashton Jeanty – This guy wows me every time I watch him. I couldn’t care less if Holani returns this week as this is Jeanty’s team. He is super talented and gets a true RB1 workload. Love this play and he should find great success against this Memphis defense.
  • Blake Watson – This game features two great backs as Watson continues his stellar start of the season. Boise State’s defense is down and Watson will have plenty of opportunities to shine in this one. Great late game hammer with both of these backs, as I don’t think either will get the ownership they probably should.
  • GPP Mentions: Roman Hemby, Devin Neal, Raheim Sanders, Jaydn Ott, Montrell Johnson, Trevor Etienne, Alton Mccaskill

Wide Receivers:

  • Xavier Worthy – Probably my favorite WR on the board with his ability and his price point. He has been steady all season, but he has yet to have that monster game. This game sets up perfectly for him. As long as Ewers is on, we could be looking at a multiple TD game for Worthy. Ja’Tavion Sanders, the most WR-like TE in the country, continues to be priced favorably and can be doubled stacked with Ewers and Worthy.
  • Xavier Weaver – I think the steam Colorado had has faded some after the beating they took last weekend. But, they get a more favorable matchup this week and they will be forced to throw the ball a lot again. Both Weaver and Jimmy Horn Jr are in good bounce back spots and could get them at a decreased ownership. Javon Antonio came back from injury and quickly stepped into the WR3 role, running the third-most routes. I think that should increase this week and could be a low owned cheaper piece to this game.
  • USC WRs – This is where it gets tricky as Williams is such a good QB he spreads the wealth around so well. Any of these WRs could pop off any week. Brenden Rice popped last week with a team-high nine targets on just 21 routes. The price on Zachariah Branch has increased, but I think he is my favorite play due to his ability and steady snap share. Dorian Singer is also a nice bounce back play and Mario Williams has yet to pop this season, but he leads the team in slot snaps and this is the area we like to attack Colorado.
  • Andrew Armstrong – My preferred pairing with KJ, he has been steady all season and quickly developed a good connection with KJ. A big game is coming and Armstrong is in a great spot for that.
  • Deion Burks – Purdue is loving to sling the ball around and Burks has shown he is capable of big games. The price is nice and if you play Card, you want either him or Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen to pair up. Isaiah Williams is a good runback in this game and pairs easily with Altmyer.
  • Brock Bowers – Good price for the most talented TE in the country. Like I said earlier, this game should be a defensive-dominated game, but Bowers can get his in any matchup, and if the RB room is thin, it could allow for more touches for Bowers.
  • Tyler Brown – Filled in very nicely for the injured Williams last week and it looks like he will be out again. Brown provides an explosiveness this offense desperately needs. Nice price for someone with his big play ability.
  • Evan Stewart – You all know my love for Stewart and I think the new QB Johnson may actually be an upgrade for Stewart. He will see tons of targets and test this struggling Arkansas pass defense. Noah Thomas makes for a good GPP play and could be a good double stack with Max.
  • Roc Taylor – Memphis does have a lot of dudes in this WR room, but Roc has seemed to separate himself and Memphis fans have been waiting a while for Roc to show out. Built like a RB, he has a great blind of size and speed and could dominate this Boise St. defense.
  • Kentucky WR – I would not be surprised if the winning lineup Saturday has one of these three WRs on it. The tricky part is picking the right one. Barion Brown has yet to really have a breakout game, but his speed is unmatched. Tayvion Robinson has looked the best of the three, and then Dane Key has the potential, but has struggled this year with drops. I’m ranking them in the order listed, but wouldn’t be upset with playing any of the three as Kentucky will have to hit on some deep shots to beat Florida.
  • GPP Mentions: Ricky Pearsall, Lambert Smith, Jermiah Hunter, Kaden Prather, Ainias Smith, Corey Dyches, Ja’Tavion Sanders, Cam Camper, Roman Wilson, Eric Mcalister

Bold Predictions: 

Will be updated Saturday morning.

  • Core 4: …KJ Jefferson, Marshawn Lloyd,Ashton Jeanty,Tyrone Broden
  • FanDuel Core 4: …KJ Jefferson, Marshawn Lloyd, Dorian Singer,Tre Harris
  • Favorite GPP Play: …Max Johnson, Nick Singleton, Zachariah Branch
  • Favorite Value Play: …Luke Altmyer, Jaylin Lucas, Tyrone Broden,
  • Favorite Game Stack: …USC COL/ Tex a&m ARK
  • Saturday Late Slate Core 4: …Cade McNamara, Squirrel White. Baily, Chris Tyree

Also Check Out: ? Dmar & Ben’s CFB Show

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