Price’s 2024 Mexico Open DFS Breakdown
This week they head down to ol’ Mexico for the Mexico Open. This typically has been the Finau vs. Rahm showdown, but with Rahm heading to LIV, Finau is all by himself as a top-ranked player in the world who is at this event. You know it is a weird field when Emiliano Grillo is the second highest priced golfer, and this week DK decided to change their pricing to where they have minimum salary at $5000. The biggest question will be what to do with Finau. He will be 40% owned minimum and the higher stakes you go, the higher he will be owned. There is a lot of value here, so it really depends on what you want to do with the rest of your build. All prices listed are for DraftKings.
$9K+:
- Finau – I am going to take a stance and fade him. He projects to finish in the top 2 here, and has finished in the top 2 the last two years, but at $12000 and with his horrendous putting, I am taking my stance that someone else wins.
- Hojgaard – Finished 33rd here last year, so he has a feel for the course, three made cuts with a second at the Farmers, and hits it a mile and is a great putter.
- Olesen – One of the best talents on the Euro tour, he will be half the ownership of Nicolai and has the same win equity, IMO.
- Mitchell – Killa rates well, has made four of five cuts coming in, and his elite OTT game will help him excel here.
- Jaeger – Jaeger has back to back top 18’s here, projects great, and has been a killer T2G lately.
- Pendrith – He rates the best of the top end guys for me, which is not that surprising due to his length off the tee and ability to get white-hot putting. He will be the chalkiest $9k guy.
- Fox – He is not $7400 for us like he normally is, but he is elite off the tee, coming off a made cut at the Waste Management, and his biggest downfall won’t hurt him here with accuracy not being needed.
$7.5K+:
- Thompson – Has two top 21’s in his last three tourneys coming in, rates solid, and won’t be too chalky.
- Ghim – The Ghim Reaper has back to back top 13 finishes coming in on tour, and has a 33rd here two years ago.
- Knapp – I figured he would be chalkier than the projected 11% or so, but he is priced high for a rookie who is relatively unknown, but has three made cuts in his four events on tour, including a third place finish at The Farmers.
- McNealy – Has shown good form the last month with three made cuts and a sixth place at the WMPO. Made the cut here last year.
- Eckroat – Is solid in strokes gained across the board, and finished 49th here last year.
- Tosti – He was uber chalk at near min price last year here and he finished 10th. He is an elite talent, has an insanely bad temper, and should do well again, but probably more likely a top 25 finish is in the cards than top 10.
- Vegas – Came to life last week with his elite OTT game paving the way to a 22nd place finish. He is long off the tee, and the paspalum greens should help his shitty putting.
- Norrman – He has shitty form coming in, but finished 18th here last year and has shown an awesome ability to finish well on resort-style courses.
$5K+:
- Young – Carson rates fantastic this week, he is top 30 in the field in basically every single metric, except driving distance. This will be something to worry about, but the rest of the metrics say fire him the F up.
- Gotterup – Gotterup is a highly-touted prospect who has shown some flashes, but has not really put it all together. He is elite off the tee, and this style of course can help hide his putting woes.
- Stevens – Stevens will be kind of chalky for a low-7k guy, but he rates great and has good form coming in with four made cuts in a row. In this field, he is priced great.
- Robert Mac – This is a course that should let the inaccurate Bobby Mac have a chance to flourish. He has been solid on the Euro tour and is a risky pivot off of the Stevens chalk.
- Bramlett – He is long off the tee, finished 10th here last year, and has done well at the courses he typically does coming in.
- Valimaki – Euro time for me, he has two made cuts in a row on the PGA tour coming in, and is solid off the tee and tee to green.
- Chan Kim – Kim is a mystery box each week he tees up, but he has the ability to top 20 any week and this is a weak field.
- Parker Coody – I prefer Parker over his brother, he is fairly long off the tee, and gains strokes everywhere except putting.
- Adrian Dumont De Chassaart – I don’t know if his game works here, but he is solid OTT and he made the cut at the Waste Management. Cheap value play.
- Biondi – He is super risky, but has popped a few times on his lower tier tour and he finished 23rd at The RSM in his last tourney on tour.
- Xiong – He was such a big prospect coming out of college and has not been able to put it together. He bombs it, is solid tee to green, sucks with his short game and this is the style of course to gamble on that.
- Hale – He is actually top third of the field in Approach and Driving Distance, has shown the ability to rattle off birdies, and lets you fit whoever you need.
