Hoffman’s Favorite NFL Week 9 Touchdown Bets
Here are my favorite touchdown prop bets and the book with the best line for each game in Week 9 of the NFL. Come hang out in Discord and tag me (@Hoffman) with any questions.
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1pm Slate:
- Seahawks at Ravens
- Kenneth Walker +125 (FanDuel) – The Seahawks’ offense runs through Walker and I think they will need to lean on their every down back to keep pace in this matchup with Baltimore, who is exceptional against NFC opponents.
- Lamar Jackson +115 (DraftKings) – Lamar is playing at an MVP level and I think is he is going to use his legs at home to pick apart the Seahawks, who in my opinion, are an overrated team with more flaws than their record entails.
- Bears at Saints
- Alvin Kamara -125 (FanDuel) – Kamara is the Saints’ workhorse in the run and pass game. There are just a lot of avenues and paths for Kamara to get in the end zone weekly that can not be ignored.
- Cardinals at Browns
- Kareem Hunt +130 (DraftKings) – Hunt is methodically coming back into form and runs into an amazing matchup at home vs. the Cardinals. With not much passing game to lean on, I think Hunt gets a lot of work, especially in the Red Zone.
- Cleveland D/ST +500 (FanDuel) – Clayton Tune is likely getting the start for Arizona and is up for a tall task going up against Myles Garrett and the stout Cleveland D. Look for their D to cause havoc for Tune, turn him over, and score either with a Garrett strip sack scoop and score or a pick-six.
- Bucs at Texans
- Mike Evans +160 (PointsBet) – Baker doesn’t have many options and leans heavily on Evans especially in the Red Zone. If the Bucs do find the End Zone in this one, it is most likely going to be Evans.
- Nico Collins +225 (PointsBet) – The Texans took an unexpected loss to the Panthers last week in a battle of the top two drafted QBs. I expect Stroud to bounce back at home and connect with his best pass catcher.
- Vikings at Falcons
- Bijan Robinson +115 (DraftKings) – With Ridder benched and London out for this one, it makes sense to just fully unleash Bijan all over the field and especially in Red Zone and Goal to Go scenarios. Like Kamara, I see multiple paths to the End Zone for Bijan this week.
- Commanders at Patriots
- Brian Robinson Jr. +190 (DraftKings) – The Commanders lean on Robinson heavily, particularly in the Red Zone and Goal to Go scenarios and I don’t see much scoring in this game. He may be the only one who sees the End Zone in this matchup.
- Rams at Packers
- Cooper Kupp +160 (DraftKings) – This is a pure volume play. Kupp has been putrid the last two games, eventually that will change for one of the best WRs in the game and I think it happens here vs. a Packer team which is struggling in a lot of areas.
4pm Slate:
- Colts at Panthers
- Jonathan Taylor -120 (FanDuel) – Jonathan Taylor is getting back to form and I like his matchup a lot this weekend vs. the Panthers. The Panther run D is not the greatest and can be exploited and Taylor is the type of back that can, and will, torch them.
- Cowboys at Eagles
- CeeDee Lamb +130 (FanDuel) – CeeDee Lamb absolutely ate last week. Hard not to go back to him this week in a divisional matchup with Philly. The Cowboys are going to need to get CeeDee involved to stay in, and potentially win, this game
- Jalen Hurts -105 (FanDuel) – Hurts is in line for a TD every week with the tush push. Although Hurts is monitoring a knee injury, the tush push is that lethal.
- D’Andre Swift +115 (FanDuel) – Last week the Eagles faked the tush push and handed it to Swift on an off-tackle run and he scored easily. The Eagles are just crafty with the run game, particularly in the Red Zone. Hurts or Swift are in line weekly for TDs; it’s just that simple.
- Giants at Raiders
- Davante Adams +150 (DraftKings) – The Raiders cleared house, got a new coach, and benched Jimmy G. All things Davante Adams seemed to want. If there were ever a Davante Adams week, it is here at home vs. the putrid Giants.
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