Volpe’s DraftKings NFL Showdown Plays – 10/26/23

Volpe’s NFL Showdown Plays – 10/26/23: Bucs at Bills

🏈 Thursday Night Showdown – 10/26/23 🏈
Bucs @ Bills | 8:20 PM EST
Bills -9.5 | Over/Under 43.5

Projections are tailored to DraftKings’ Showdown Captain contests. If you have any lineup questions, for FanDuel or DraftKings, ask me @mvolp in Discord before lock!

UPDATES: Vita Vea is OUT

⭐ Notable News ⭐

• The Bucs have been stout against the run and stingy against tight ends

🩹 Key Injuries 🩹

• Bucs: OUT: Matt Feiler (G, Knee), Kaevon Merriweather (S), Vita Vea (D)
• Bills: OUT: Dawson Knox (TE, Wrist), Quinten Morris (TE, Ankle) | QUES: Ed Oliver (DT, Toe)

🌦️ Weather 🌦️ 

• Highmark Stadium, Outdoors. 65 degrees, 9-20 MPH winds, 5% chance of rain

🔄  Matchup History 🔄  

• 12/12/2021: Bucs 33-27 OT

🏈 QB Matchups 🏈 

• Bucs Defense: Ranked 23rd | 21.4 FP/G allowed to QBs
• Bills Defense: Ranked 2nd | 16.0 FP/G allowed to QBs

🏃 RB Matchups 🏃 

• Bucs Defense: Ranked 11th | 18.6 FP/G allowed to RBs – DT Vita Vea is Questionable
• Bills Defense: Ranked 22nd | 23.8 FP/G allowed to RBs

🏈 TE Matchups 🏈

• Bucs Defense: Ranked 11th | 10.3 FP/G allowed to TEs
• Bills Defense: Ranked 8th | 9.2 FP/G allowed to TEs

🧩 Core Players 🧩

• Tonight’s Build: 3-3 or 4-2
• MUST-HAVES: Allen, Diggs
• Captains: White, Davis
  • I typically avoid the high ownership captains, which Allen and Diggs will be the highest owned captains for good reason.

🔝 More of 🔝

• Allen, Diggs, Evans, White, Cook, Kincaid, Godwin, Davis, Palmer

🔑 Best Values 🔑 

• Kincaid, Otton, Thompkins

🚫 Less of 🚫 

• McLaughlin, Shakir, Murray, Mayfield

*Deeper GPP Plays In Order*

1. Palmer – The 6th round pick is on the field nearly 70% of the time and Godwin is questionable
2. Thompkins – Has had 3 or 4 targets in five of his six games
3. Shakir – 30-40% of the snaps, and coming off of a season-high four receptions
4. Harty – Plays about 25% of the snaps, but they like his speed. He usually sees 2-3 targets
5. Sherfield – Also plays approximately 25% of the snaps
6. Edmonds – Activated for the first time since week 2
7. Bills TE4 Joel Wilson? –With Knox and Morris out, he will see some snaps

🔮 Prediction 🔮  

• Bills 24-16

🎰 Bets 🎰 (+2.0 units)

1. Kincaid OVER 3.5 receptions – 0.5 unit

📈 Rankings 📈 See Detailed Player Projections ⬇️

Click Here For Volpe’s Showdown Projections

If you have any lineup questions, ask me @mvolp in Discord before lock!